NRFI Picks — Wednesday, August 19, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 4-4

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
TOR @ TBMax Scherzer vs Drew Rasmussen78Strong NRFI2 runs✗ miss
SEA @ MILLogan Gilbert vs Dustin May76Strong NRFI4 runs✗ miss
SF @ CLEMatt Wilkinson vs Parker Messick72Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
ARI @ BOSBrandon Pfaadt vs Payton Tolle69Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
WSH @ TEXCade Cavalli vs Kumar Rocker63Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
CHW @ CHCSean Newcomb vs Clay Holmes62Lean NRFIpending
LAA @ HOUWalbert Ureña vs Ethan Pecko62Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
ATL @ MINAJ Smith-Shawver vs Taj Bradley59Toss-up0 runspush
OAK @ KCTBD vs TBD52Toss-uppending
MIA @ PHISandy Alcantara vs Aaron Nola51Toss-up0 runspush
DET @ PITJackson Jobe vs Paul Skenes47Toss-up1 runpush
STL @ CINMatthew Liberatore vs Chase Burns47Toss-up0 runspush
SD @ NYMMichael King vs Robert Stock44Toss-up0 runspush
NYY @ BALWill Warren vs Chris Bassitt35Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
LAD @ COLRoki Sasaki vs Kyle Freeland21Strong YRFI0 runs✗ miss

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.