NRFI Picks — Friday, August 21, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 8-1

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
ATL @ MILChris Sale vs Jacob Misiorowski97Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
LAA @ TEXReid Detmers vs MacKenzie Gore70Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
PIT @ LADBubba Chandler vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto69Lean NRFI3 runs✗ miss
NYM @ CHWSean Manaea vs Sean Burke66Lean NRFIpending
SF @ BOSLogan Webb vs Sonny Gray65Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
TOR @ NYYTBD vs Cam Schlittler65Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
DET @ KCTroy Melton vs Noah Cameron64Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
WSH @ MIABrad Lord vs Ryan Gusto63Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
CHC @ SEAMatthew Boyd vs Emerson Hancock56Toss-up3 runspush
STL @ PHITBD vs Jesús Luzardo56Toss-up2 runspush
MIN @ SDConnor Prielipp vs TBD54Toss-up2 runspush
CIN @ ARINick Lodolo vs Eduardo Rodriguez53Toss-up1 runpush
OAK @ HOUJ.T. Ginn vs Hayden Wesneski46Toss-uppending
TB @ BALFreddy Peralta vs Trevor Rogers37Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
CLE @ COLJoey Cantillo vs Tanner Gordon22Strong YRFI1 run✓ hit

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.