NRFI Picks — Saturday, August 22, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 4-6

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
TOR @ NYYDylan Cease vs Ryan Weathers95Strong NRFI1 run✗ miss
ATL @ MILMartín Pérez vs Logan Henderson83Strong NRFI1 run✗ miss
PIT @ LADJared Jones vs Tarik Skubal83Strong NRFI3 runs✗ miss
WSH @ MIAJake Irvin vs Eury Pérez71Lean NRFI2 runs✗ miss
TB @ BALShane McClanahan vs Brandon Young64Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
MIN @ SDDean Kremer vs Casey Mize60Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
DET @ KCDrew Anderson vs Michael Wacha57Toss-up0 runspush
CIN @ ARIRhett Lowder vs Michael Soroka54Toss-up1 runpush
NYM @ CHWChristian Scott vs Luis Castillo46Toss-uppending
LAA @ TEXRyan Johnson vs Cody Bradford44Toss-up1 runpush
OAK @ HOUJacob Lopez vs Hunter Brown41Toss-uppending
SF @ BOSBlade Tidwell vs Patrick Sandoval38Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
STL @ PHITBD vs Andrew Painter35Lean YRFI3 runs✓ hit
CHC @ SEADavid Peterson vs Kade Anderson34Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
CLE @ COLTanner Bibee vs Gabriel Hughes19Strong YRFI0 runs✗ miss

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.