NRFI Picks — Friday, September 4, 2026

16 games scored before first pitch. 14 graded · leans went 5-3

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
ATL @ PHIChris Sale vs Cristopher Sánchez79Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
NYY @ SDMax Fried vs Walker Buehler79Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
TB @ TEXNick Martinez vs Trevor Williams68Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
SF @ NYMMatt Wilkinson vs Nolan McLean60Lean NRFI3 runs✗ miss
DET @ CLEAndrew Sears vs Foster Griffin59Toss-up0 runspush
DET @ CLEAndrew Sears vs Foster Griffin59Toss-up5 runspush
WSH @ LADJackson Kent vs Blake Snell59Toss-up0 runspush
OAK @ SEAKade Morris vs Logan Gilbert57Toss-uppending
CHC @ MIAShota Imanaga vs Janson Junk56Toss-up0 runspush
BOS @ BALRanger Suarez vs Shane Baz49Toss-up1 runpush
TOR @ KCJameson Taillon vs Daniel Lynch IV44Toss-up5 runspush
LAA @ PITRyan Johnson vs Jared Jones33Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
MIL @ CINShane Drohan vs Rhett Lowder29Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
STL @ COLAndre Pallante vs Ryan Feltner27Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
MIN @ CHWZebby Matthews vs Erick Fedde24Strong YRFIpending
ARI @ HOUMerrill Kelly vs Cristian Javier20Strong YRFI0 runs✗ miss

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.