NRFI Picks — Saturday, September 5, 2026

15 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 4-6

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
TB @ TEXDrew Rasmussen vs Jacob deGrom96Strong NRFI1 run✗ miss
WSH @ LADCade Cavalli vs Tyler Glasnow87Strong NRFI2 runs✗ miss
NYY @ SDCarlos Rodón vs Robbie Ray86Strong NRFI0 runs✓ hit
DET @ CLEFramber Valdez vs Parker Messick76Strong NRFI1 run✗ miss
SF @ NYMAnthony Molina vs Zac Thornton64Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
ATL @ PHIMartín Pérez vs Zack Wheeler63Lean NRFI2 runs✗ miss
CHC @ MIAJavier Assad vs Ryan Gusto60Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
ARI @ HOUBrandon Pfaadt vs Ethan Pecko47Toss-up0 runspush
LAA @ PITYusei Kikuchi vs Braxton Ashcraft44Toss-up0 runspush
OAK @ SEAJeffrey Springs vs George Kirby44Toss-uppending
BOS @ BALSonny Gray vs Chris Bassitt43Toss-up0 runspush
MIN @ CHWTaj Bradley vs Anthony Kay41Toss-uppending
STL @ COLMatthew Liberatore vs Mason Adams35Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
MIL @ CINDustin May vs Andrew Abbott33Lean YRFI2 runs✓ hit
TOR @ KCMax Scherzer vs Seth Lugo26Lean YRFI4 runs✓ hit

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.