NRFI Picks — Wednesday, September 16, 2026

16 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 4-5

GamePitchersScoreCall1st inningResult
BOS @ TEXJake Bennett vs MacKenzie Gore70Lean NRFI3 runs✗ miss
MIL @ PITLogan Henderson vs Jared Jones70Lean NRFI0 runs✓ hit
OAK @ TBBrady Basso vs Nick Martinez70Lean NRFIpending
NYY @ MINCarlos Rodón vs Zebby Matthews69Lean NRFI1 run✗ miss
PHI @ WSHZack Wheeler vs Jared Simpson65Lean NRFI2 runs✗ miss
CHW @ CLEAnthony Kay vs Parker Messick58Toss-uppending
ARI @ MIATBD vs TBD55Toss-uppending
MIA @ ARIRyan Gusto vs Merrill Kelly53Toss-up0 runspush
SEA @ LAAGeorge Kirby vs Yusei Kikuchi51Toss-up3 runspush
LAD @ CINBlake Snell vs Andrew Abbott49Toss-up0 runspush
ATL @ CHCJR Ritchie vs Shota Imanaga47Toss-up1 runpush
DET @ TORKeider Montero vs Max Scherzer39Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
SD @ COLRobbie Ray vs Mason Adams36Lean YRFI3 runs✓ hit
KC @ HOUDaniel Lynch IV vs Cristian Javier35Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss
BAL @ NYMChris Bassitt vs Robert Stock30Lean YRFI1 run✓ hit
SF @ STLAnthony Molina vs Matthew Liberatore30Lean YRFI0 runs✗ miss

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.