NRFI Picks — Tuesday, September 22, 2026

16 games scored before first pitch. 13 graded · leans went 5-2

Game	Pitchers	Score	Call	1st inning	Result
CLE @ BOS	Parker Messick vs Payton Tolle	83	Strong NRFI	0 runs	✓ hit
TB @ NYY	Drew Rasmussen vs Max Fried	83	Strong NRFI	0 runs	✓ hit
TB @ NYY	Drew Rasmussen vs Max Fried	83	Strong NRFI	0 runs	✓ hit
MIN @ SF	Taj Bradley vs Anthony Molina	71	Lean NRFI	0 runs	✓ hit
STL @ PIT	Andre Pallante vs Jared Jones	71	Lean NRFI	0 runs	✓ hit
MIA @ CHC	Janson Junk vs TBD	58	Toss-up	0 runs	push
SD @ LAD	Michael King vs TBD	54	Toss-up	0 runs	push
MIL @ PHI	Dustin May vs Zack Wheeler	54	Toss-up	0 runs	push
CHW @ KC	Anthony Kay vs Daniel Lynch IV	51	Toss-up	—	pending
NYM @ TEX	Sean Manaea vs MacKenzie Gore	48	Toss-up	0 runs	push
HOU @ SEA	Cristian Javier vs Logan Gilbert	45	Toss-up	1 run	push
ARI @ COL	Michael Soroka vs Kyle Freeland	40	Toss-up	3 runs	push
WSH @ DET	Jackson Kent vs Drew Anderson	38	Lean YRFI	0 runs	✗ miss
LAA @ OAK	Yusei Kikuchi vs Brady Basso	35	Lean YRFI	—	pending
CIN @ ATL	Brandon Williamson vs JR Ritchie	28	Lean YRFI	0 runs	✗ miss
TOR @ BAL	Max Scherzer vs Chris Bassitt	22	Strong YRFI	—	pending

Score is the model’s NRFI confidence 0–100 at first snapshot; it is not edited after the game. “Hit” means the lean (NRFI at 60+, YRFI under 40) matched the box score. Toss-ups carry no lean.

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