First Inning Run Predictions
League base rate: NRFI has hit 48% of the last 376 games (30d).
How this score has actually done
Our Strong NRFI tier has hit 50.8% across 65 graded games, against a league base rate of 47.6%. Full record by tier.
Ask Bobby
4 games today — NRFI No Run | YRFI Yes Run
Pitcher 1st-inning splits, team scoring rates, Vegas totals, and live weather
3
Strong NRFI
1
Lean NRFI
0
Toss-up
0
Lean YRFI
0
Strong YRFI
BOSat
NYYO/U 6.5
8:00 PM
Yankee StadiumPF 1.0770°FBOS NRFI 74%NYY NRFI 76%
AwaySonny Gray
ERA
2.72
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.15
K/9
7.9
HomeMax Fried
ERA
2.80
1st Inn
—
WHIP
0.99
K/9
8.3
87
Strong NRFI- Both pitchers sub-3.50 ERA (Sonny Gray 2.72, Max Fried 2.80) — strong NRFI
- BOS batters held scoreless in 1st inning 74% of games (29/39)
- NYY batters held scoreless in 1st inning 76% of games (29/38)
- Low game total (6.5) — Vegas expects a pitchers' duel
NRFI+110
YRFI-145
CHCat
SDO/U 7
10:00 PM
Petco ParkPF 0.9372°FCHC NRFI 63%SD NRFI 71%
AwayKevin Gausman
ERA
4.51
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.27
K/9
9.3
HomeNick Pivetta
ERA
2.86
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.01
K/9
10.9
78
Strong NRFI- Nick Pivetta has elite ERA (2.86) — strong NRFI signal
- SD batters held scoreless in 1st inning 71% of games (27/38)
- Pitcher-friendly park (PF 0.93) supports NRFI
- Low game total (7) — Vegas expects a pitchers' duel
NRFI+110
YRFI-150
PHIat
ATLO/U 7
2:00 PM
Truist ParkPF 1.0178°FPHI NRFI 68%ATL NRFI 74%
AwayCristopher Sánchez
ERA
2.91
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.20
K/9
10.0
HomeTyler Mahle
ERA
3.99
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.23
K/9
8.3
75
Strong NRFI- Cristopher Sánchez has elite ERA (2.91) — strong NRFI signal
- ATL batters held scoreless in 1st inning 74% of games (29/39)
- Low game total (7) — Vegas expects a pitchers' duel
NRFI+120
YRFI-160
CHWat
HOUO/U 7.5
5:00 PM
Minute Maid ParkPF 1.02Retractable89°F10mphCHW NRFI 70%HOU NRFI 66%
AwaySean Burke
ERA
3.34
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.20
K/9
9.7
HomeHunter Brown
ERA
3.19
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.27
K/9
10.4
67
Lean NRFI- Both pitchers sub-3.50 ERA (Sean Burke 3.34, Hunter Brown 3.19) — strong NRFI
- CHW batters held scoreless in 1st inning 70% of games (28/40)
NRFI+120
YRFI-165