First Inning Run Predictions
League base rate: NRFI has hit 51% of the last 154 games (30d).
How this score has actually done
The score has not separated yet. Strong NRFI 51.9% (79 games). Lean NRFI 46.2% (169 games). The league base rate is 51.3%, so a top-tier game has been close to any other game. Read the ranking as the reasoning behind it, not as an edge over the market. Full record by tier.
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1 game today — NRFI No Run | YRFI Yes Run
Pitcher 1st-inning splits, team scoring rates, Vegas totals, and live weather
0
Strong NRFI
0
Lean NRFI
1
Toss-up
0
Lean YRFI
0
Strong YRFI
CLEat
TBO/U 7
8:08 PM
Tropicana FieldPF 0.93DomeCLE NRFI 64%TB NRFI 64%
AwayShawn Armstrong
ERA
4.58
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.39
K/9
8.7
HomeFreddy Peralta
ERA
4.42
1st Inn
—
WHIP
1.33
K/9
8.3
56
Toss-up- Pitcher-friendly park (PF 0.93) supports NRFI
- Fixed dome — controlled environment favors pitching
- Low game total (7) — Vegas expects a pitchers' duel
- Shawn Armstrong ERA 4.58 — elevated run risk
NRFI+125
YRFI-165