First Inning Run Predictions
League base rate: NRFI has hit 50% of the last 38 games (30d).
How this score has actually done
The score has not separated yet. Strong NRFI 51.3% (80 games). Lean NRFI 46.2% (171 games). The league base rate is 50%, so a top-tier game has been close to any other game. Read the ranking as the reasoning behind it, not as an edge over the market. Full record by tier.
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1 game today — NRFI No Run | YRFI Yes Run
Pitcher 1st-inning splits, team scoring rates, Vegas totals, and live weather
0
Strong NRFI
1
Lean NRFI
0
Toss-up
0
Lean YRFI
0
Strong YRFI
MILat
TBO/U 6.5
8:00 PM
Tropicana FieldPF 0.93DomeMIL NRFI 77%TB NRFI 57%
AwayJacob Misiorowski
ERA
1.80
1st Inn
—
WHIP
0.80
K/9
13.0
HomeTBD
65
Lean NRFI- Jacob Misiorowski has elite ERA (1.80) — strong NRFI signal
- MIL batters held scoreless in 1st inning 77% of games (10/13)
- Pitcher-friendly park (PF 0.93) supports NRFI
- Fixed dome — controlled environment favors pitching
- Low game total (6.5) — Vegas expects a pitchers' duel
- Home pitcher TBD — increased uncertainty
- MIL batting lineup scores 5.1 R/G — high 1st inning threat
NRFI-125
YRFI-110