Championship winner and Final Four odds with AI analysis
Extreme longshot. Florida at 0.2% implied is a dart throw — only for fun money.
Fair price. Duke at +600 is reasonably valued — not a standout edge but not a bad bet either.
Fair price. UConn at +1200 is reasonably valued — not a standout edge but not a bad bet either.
Strong value play. Illinois offers an attractive risk/reward profile at +1300.
Fair price. Michigan State at +1900 is reasonably valued — not a standout edge but not a bad bet either.
| # | Team | Odds | Implied % | $100 Pays |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida | +550 | 15.4% | $550 |
| 2 | Duke | +600 | 14.3% | $600 |
| 3 | UConn | +1200 | 7.7% | $1200 |
| 4 | Illinois | +1300 | 7.1% | $1300 |
| 5 | Michigan State | +1900 | 5.0% | $1900 |
| 6 |  Arizona | +2000 | 4.8% | $2000 |
| 7 |  Louisville | +2200 | 4.3% | $2200 |
| 8 |  Texas | +2200 | 4.3% | $2200 |
| 9 |  Texas Tech | +2200 | 4.3% | $2200 |
| 10 |  Houston | +3000 | 3.2% | $3000 |
| 11 |  Gonzaga | +3000 | 3.2% | $3000 |
| 12 |  Tennessee | +3000 | 3.2% | $3000 |
| 13 |  St. John's | +3300 | 2.9% | $3300 |
| 14 |  Virginia | +3300 | 2.9% | $3300 |
| 15 |  Arkansas | +3300 | 2.9% | $3300 |
| 16 |  Kentucky | +3500 | 2.8% | $3500 |
| 17 |  Michigan | +3500 | 2.8% | $3500 |
| 18 |  Kansas | +3500 | 2.8% | $3500 |
| 19 |  LSU | +4000 | 2.4% | $4000 |
| 20 |  Miami | +4000 | 2.4% | $4000 |
| 21 |  UCLA | +4500 | 2.2% | $4500 |
| 22 |  Vanderbilt | +4500 | 2.2% | $4500 |
| 23 |  Iowa State | +4500 | 2.2% | $4500 |
| 24 |  Missouri | +4500 | 2.2% | $4500 |
| 25 |  Alabama | +4500 | 2.2% | $4500 |
| 26 |  USC | +5500 | 1.8% | $5500 |
| 27 |  Nebraska | +6500 | 1.5% | $6500 |
| 28 |  Indiana | +6500 | 1.5% | $6500 |
| 29 |  Purdue | +6500 | 1.5% | $6500 |
| 30 |  BYU | +6500 | 1.5% | $6500 |
| 31 |  Texas A&M | +6500 | 1.5% | $6500 |
| 32 |  North Carolina | +6500 | 1.5% | $6500 |
| 33 |  Baylor | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 34 |  Maryland | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 35 |  Ohio State | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 36 |  Providence | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 37 |  Auburn | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 38 | S Saint Louis | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 39 |  Cincinnati | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 40 |  Iowa | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 41 |  Villanova | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 42 |  Oklahoma | +10000 | 1.0% | $10000 |
| 43 |  TCU | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 44 |  Wisconsin | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 45 |  Creighton | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 46 |  Marquette | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 47 |  Arizona State | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 48 |  Georgia | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 49 |  SMU | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 50 |  Clemson | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 51 |  NC State | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 52 |  Xavier | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 53 |  VCU | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 54 |  West Virginia | +15000 | 0.7% | $15000 |
| 55 |  San Diego State | +20000 | 0.5% | $20000 |
| 56 |  Oklahoma State | +20000 | 0.5% | $20000 |
| 57 |  Minnesota | +20000 | 0.5% | $20000 |
| 58 |  Washington | +20000 | 0.5% | $20000 |
| 59 |  Ole Miss | +20000 | 0.5% | $20000 |
| 60 |  Oregon | +20000 | 0.5% | $20000 |
| 61 |  Syracuse | +25000 | 0.4% | $25000 |
| 62 |  DePaul | +25000 | 0.4% | $25000 |
| 63 |  Kansas State | +25000 | 0.4% | $25000 |
| 64 |  UCF | +25000 | 0.4% | $25000 |
| 65 |  Florida State | +25000 | 0.4% | $25000 |
| 66 |  Memphis | +25000 | 0.4% | $25000 |
| 67 |  Stanford | +30000 | 0.3% | $30000 |
| 68 | N New Mexico | +30000 | 0.3% | $30000 |
| 69 | U Utah State | +30000 | 0.3% | $30000 |
| 70 |  Georgia Tech | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 71 |  Cal | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 72 |  Georgetown | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 73 |  UNLV | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 74 |  Colorado | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 75 | Florida | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 76 |  Dayton | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 77 |  Utah | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 78 |  Notre Dame | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 79 |  Santa Clara | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 80 |  Wake Forest | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 81 |  Penn State | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 82 |  Pittsburgh | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 83 |  Saint Mary's | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 84 |  Mississippi State | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 85 |  Virginia Tech | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 86 |  Boston College | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 87 |  Nevada | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 88 |  South Carolina | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 89 | Colorado | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 90 |  Butler | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
| 91 |  Northwestern | +40000 | 0.2% | $40000 |
Market Efficiency: 50.5% vig
Total implied probability sums to 150% (should be 100% in a fair market). High vig market — sportsbook taking a large edge. Be selective.
