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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
UConn
#2 seed

UConn

34-6
Final
73-72
Duke
#1 seed

Duke

35-3

Post-Game Review

UConn (+11.0 scoring margin) played Duke (+20.0 scoring margin). The projected total was 144 points; the actual total was 145. UConn held statistical advantages in 3 of 3 key categories.

•Duke held opponents to 62.3 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Duke dominated the boards with 40.3 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
•Duke was 5-0 in their last 5 games heading into this matchup, carrying strong momentum.
Result

UConn defeated Duke 73-72 in a closely contested game.

B+
UConn Grade
A+
Duke Grade
B+
UConn Grade
48%
UConnFG%
vs
49%
DukeFG%
A+
Duke Grade
UConn Scoring Trend
Duke Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

East Region — Elite 8Capital One Arena
2UConn
vs
Duke1
Adjusted Efficiency
UConnUConn#9 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.5
Adj. Defense94.5
DukeDuke#3 Eff.
Adj. Offense128.2
Adj. Defense92.6

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace79.9Up-Tempo
UConn+11.0Scoring Margin
Duke+20.0Scoring Margin
Offense77.5 PPG
Offense82.3 PPG
Defense66.5 Opp PPG
Defense62.3 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

48.2%FG%49.0%
35.2%3P%35.1%
71.6%FT%72.4%
36.6RPG40.3
18.4APG16.9
11.2TOV10.5

Total Projection

Projected Total144.3
UConn: 69.9Duke: 74.4
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

UConn0 advantages
3 advantagesDuke
77.5 PPG
Scoring Advantage
82.3 PPG
66.5 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
62.3 Opp PPG
36.6 RPG
Rebounding
40.3 RPG

Statistical Comparison

UConnUConn
STAT
DukeDuke
77.5
PPG
82.3
66.5
Opp PPG
62.3
36.6
RPG
40.3
18.4
APG
16.9
48.2%
FG%
49.0%
35.2%
3P%
35.1%
71.6%
FT%
72.4%
6.9
SPG
7.8
5.3
BPG
3.3
11.2
TOV
10.5

UConnUConn Recent Games

L@St John'sSt John's
52-72
WvsGeorgetownGeorgetown
67-51
WvsXavierXavier
93-68
L@MarquetteMarquette
62-68
WvsSeton HallSeton Hall
71-67
WvsSt John'sSt John's
72-40
W@VillanovaVillanova
73-63
7-3 SU

DukeDuke Recent Games

WvsVirginiaVirginia
74-70
WvsClemsonClemson
73-61
WvsFlorida StFlorida St
80-79
WvsNorth CarolinaNorth Carolina
76-61
W@NC StateNC State
93-64
WvsVirginiaVirginia
77-51
W@Notre DameNotre Dame
100-56
10-0 SU
UConn

UConn

34-6
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Efficient shooting
Excellent ball movement
Strong shot-blocking presence
Full Team Profile
Duke

Duke

35-3
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Full Team Profile