Hawai'i vs Arkansas | NCAABB Matchup Analysis | Bobby's Bets

Bobby's BetsMarch Madness

💸 Refer

NCAABBMatchup

#13 seed

Hawai'i

#4 seed

Arkansas

Bobby's PickArkansas

Confidence78%

Arkansas should control this game. Their advantages in scoring advantage and three-point shooting make them the clear pick.

13-seeds pull upsets 22% of the time historically -- upset is plausible.

Arkansas has a commanding +10.3 scoring margin advantage.

Key statistical advantages in scoring advantage, three-point shooting.

AI Matchup Analysis

Bobby's PickArkansas

Confidence78%

Key Rationale

13-seeds pull upsets 22% of the time historically -- upset is plausible.

Arkansas has a commanding +10.3 scoring margin advantage.

Key statistical advantages in scoring advantage, three-point shooting.

Hawai'i (+79.6 scoring margin) faces Arkansas (+89.9 scoring margin) in a matchup that projects to around 85 total points. Arkansas holds statistical advantages in 4 of 5 key categories.

•Arkansas averages 10.3 more points per game, giving them a significant offensive advantage.

•Arkansas's 38.9% three-point shooting could be the X-factor. Perimeter shooting often decides close tournament games.

•Hawai'i averages 13.5 turnovers per game. Arkansas's ability to force mistakes could create easy transition scoring.

•Hawai'i dominates the boards with 39.3 RPG. Second-chance points could swing this matchup.

Prediction

Arkansas should control this game. Their advantages in scoring advantage and three-point shooting make them the clear pick.

C+

Hawai'i Grade

B+

Arkansas Grade

C+

Hawai'i Grade

46%

Hawai'iFG%

50%

ArkansasFG%

B+

Arkansas Grade

Tournament Context

West Region — 1st RoundModa Center

13Hawai'i

Arkansas4

Historical upset rate (13-seeds vs 4-seeds)21.5%

13-seeds pull the upset 21.5% of the time historically

Adjusted Efficiency

Hawai'i

Arkansas#20 Eff.

Adj. Offense128.5

Adj. Defense102.7

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace84.8Up-Tempo

Hawai'i+79.6Scoring Margin

Arkansas+89.9Scoring Margin

Offense79.6 PPG

Offense89.9 PPG

DefenseN/A Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

45.9%FG%50.0%

31.5%3P%38.9%

74.1%FT%74.7%

39.3RPG36.1

13.7APG17.0

13.5TOV9.0

Total Projection

Projected Total169.6

Hawai'i: 79.6Arkansas: 89.9

No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Hawai'i1 advantage

4 advantagesArkansas

79.6 PPG

Scoring Advantage

89.9 PPG

31.5%

Three-Point Shooting

38.9%

39.3 RPG

Rebounding

36.1 RPG

13.5 TOV/G

Ball Security

9.0 TOV/G

13.7 APG

Ball Movement

17.0 APG

Statistical Comparison

Hawai'i

STAT

Arkansas

79.6

PPG

89.9

0.0

Opp PPG

0.0

39.3

RPG

36.1

13.7

APG

17.0

45.9%

FG%

50.0%

31.5%

3P%

38.9%

74.1%

FT%

74.7%

6.6

SPG

7.3

4.1

BPG

5.1

13.5

TOV

9.0

Hawai'i

Strengths

Strong scoring offense

Dominant on the boards

Full Team Profile

Arkansas

Strengths

Elite scoring offense

Efficient shooting

Dangerous from three-point range

Excellent ball movement

Strong shot-blocking presence

Full Team Profile