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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Hawai'i
#13 seed

Hawai'i

24-9
Final
78-97
Arkansas
#4 seed

Arkansas

28-9

Post-Game Review

Hawai'i (-17.4 scoring margin) played Arkansas (-1.7 scoring margin). The projected total was 179 points; the actual total was 175. Arkansas held statistical advantages in 5 of 6 key categories.

•Arkansas averaged 10.3 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•Arkansas held opponents to 91.7 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Arkansas's 38.9% three-point shooting was an X-factor in this matchup.
•Hawai'i averaged 13.5 turnovers per game this season. Arkansas's ability to force mistakes was a factor.
•Hawai'i dominated the boards with 39.3 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Arkansas defeated Hawai'i 97-78 in a dominant performance.

C+
Hawai'i Grade
A
Arkansas Grade
C+
Hawai'i Grade
46%
Hawai'iFG%
vs
50%
ArkansasFG%
A
Arkansas Grade

Tournament Context

West Region — 1st RoundModa Center
13Hawai'i
vs
Arkansas4
Historical upset rate (13-seeds vs 4-seeds)21.5%

13-seeds pull the upset 21.5% of the time historically

Adjusted Efficiency
Hawai'iHawai'i
ArkansasArkansas#20 Eff.
Adj. Offense128.4
Adj. Defense102.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace84.8Up-Tempo
Hawai'i-17.4Scoring Margin
Arkansas-1.7Scoring Margin
Offense79.6 PPG
Offense89.9 PPG
Defense97.0 Opp PPG
Defense91.7 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

45.9%FG%50.0%
31.5%3P%38.9%
74.1%FT%74.7%
39.3RPG36.1
13.7APG17.0
13.5TOV9.0

Total Projection

Projected Total179.1
Hawai'i: 85.6Arkansas: 93.5
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Hawai'i1 advantage
5 advantagesArkansas
79.6 PPG
Scoring Advantage
89.9 PPG
97.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
91.7 Opp PPG
31.5%
Three-Point Shooting
38.9%
39.3 RPG
Rebounding
36.1 RPG
13.5 TOV/G
Ball Security
9.0 TOV/G
13.7 APG
Ball Movement
17.0 APG

Statistical Comparison

Hawai'iHawai'i
STAT
ArkansasArkansas
79.6
PPG
89.9
97.0
Opp PPG
91.7
39.3
RPG
36.1
13.7
APG
17.0
45.9%
FG%
50.0%
31.5%
3P%
38.9%
74.1%
FT%
74.7%
6.6
SPG
7.3
4.1
BPG
5.1
13.5
TOV
9.0

Hawai'iHawai'i Recent Games

L@ArkansasArkansas
78-97
0-1 SU

ArkansasArkansas Recent Games

L@ArizonaArizona
88-109
WvsHigh PointHigh Point
94-88
WvsHawai'iHawai'i
97-78
2-1 SU
Hawai'i

Hawai'i

24-9
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Arkansas

Arkansas

28-9
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dangerous from three-point range
Excellent ball movement
Strong shot-blocking presence
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile