NCAABBMatchup
#15 seed
Idaho
21-15Final
47-78
#2 seed
Houston
30-7Post-Game Review
Idaho (+0.7 scoring margin) played Houston (+20.8 scoring margin). The projected total was 145 points; the actual total was 125. Houston held statistical advantages in 3 of 3 key categories.
•Houston held opponents to 56.3 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Idaho averaged 10.6 turnovers per game this season. Houston's ability to force mistakes was a factor.
Result
Houston defeated Idaho 78-47 in a dominant performance.
C+
Idaho GradeB+
Houston GradeC+
Idaho Grade45%
vs
45%
B+
Houston GradeTournament Context
South Region — 1st RoundPaycom Center
15Idaho
vsHouston2
Historical upset rate (15-seeds vs 2-seeds)6.3%
2-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 6.3% upset rate
Adjusted EfficiencyIdahoHouston#5 Eff.
IdahoHouston#5 Eff.Adj. Offense124.8
Adj. Defense91.9
Pace & Efficiency
Expected Pace77.9Average
Idaho+0.7Scoring Margin
Houston+20.8Scoring Margin
Offense78.7 PPG
Offense77.1 PPG
Defense78.0 Opp PPG
Defense56.3 Opp PPG
Shooting & Box Score
44.8%FG%45.0%
35.6%3P%34.9%
73.5%FT%77.2%
37.4RPG36.6
12.5APG14.7
10.6TOV8.5
Total Projection
Projected Total145.1
Idaho: 67.5Houston: 77.6
No DK total line available
Key Matchup Factors
Idaho0 advantages
3 advantagesHouston
78.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
56.3 Opp PPG
10.6 TOV/G
Ball Security
8.5 TOV/G
12.5 APG
Ball Movement
14.7 APG
Statistical Comparison
IdahoHouston
78.7
PPG77.1
78.0
Opp PPG56.3
37.4
RPG36.6
12.5
APG14.7
44.8%
FG%45.0%
35.6%
3P%34.9%
73.5%
FT%77.2%
5.9
SPG7.7
2.3
BPG3.9
10.6
TOV8.5
Idaho Recent Games
L@Houston
Houston47-78
0-1 SU
Houston Recent Games
Lvs
Illinois
Illinois55-65
Wvs
Texas A&M
Texas A&M88-57
WvsIdaho
Idaho78-47
2-1 SU
Houston
30-7Strengths
Full Team Profile Strong scoring offense
Elite defensive team
Strong free throw shooting