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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Idaho
#15 seed

Idaho

21-15
Final
47-78
Houston
#2 seed

Houston

30-7

Post-Game Review

Idaho (+9.3 scoring margin) played Houston (+10.2 scoring margin). The projected total was 146 points; the actual total was 125. Houston held statistical advantages in 3 of 3 key categories.

•Idaho averaged 10.6 turnovers per game this season. Houston's ability to force mistakes was a factor.
Result

Houston defeated Idaho 78-47 in a dominant performance.

B+
Idaho Grade
B
Houston Grade
B+
Idaho Grade
45%
IdahoFG%
vs
45%
HoustonFG%
B
Houston Grade
Idaho Scoring Trend
Houston Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

South Region — 1st RoundPaycom Center
15Idaho
vs
Houston2
Historical upset rate (15-seeds vs 2-seeds)6.3%

2-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 6.3% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
IdahoIdaho
HoustonHouston#5 Eff.
Adj. Offense124.9
Adj. Defense91.9

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace77.9Average
Idaho+9.3Scoring Margin
Houston+10.2Scoring Margin
Offense78.7 PPG
Offense77.1 PPG
Defense69.4 Opp PPG
Defense66.9 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

44.8%FG%45.0%
35.6%3P%34.9%
73.5%FT%77.2%
37.4RPG36.6
12.5APG14.7
10.6TOV8.5

Total Projection

Projected Total146.1
Idaho: 72.8Houston: 73.3
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Idaho0 advantages
3 advantagesHouston
69.4 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
66.9 Opp PPG
10.6 TOV/G
Ball Security
8.5 TOV/G
12.5 APG
Ball Movement
14.7 APG

Statistical Comparison

IdahoIdaho
STAT
HoustonHouston
78.7
PPG
77.1
69.4
Opp PPG
66.9
37.4
RPG
36.6
12.5
APG
14.7
44.8%
FG%
45.0%
35.6%
3P%
34.9%
73.5%
FT%
77.2%
5.9
SPG
7.7
2.3
BPG
3.9
10.6
TOV
8.5

IdahoIdaho Recent Games

W@MontanaMontana
77-66
W@E WashingtonE Washington
81-68
W@Montana StMontana St
78-74
WvsSacramento StSacramento St
68-45
W@E WashingtonE Washington
85-81
LvsN ColoradoN Colorado
67-76
WvsN ArizonaN Arizona
78-58
8-2 SU

HoustonHouston Recent Games

L@ArizonaArizona
74-79
WvsKansasKansas
69-47
WvsBYUBYU
73-66
W@Oklahoma StOklahoma St
82-75
WvsBaylorBaylor
77-64
WvsColoradoColorado
102-62
L@KansasKansas
56-69
6-4 SU
Idaho

Idaho

21-15
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Full Team Profile
Houston

Houston

30-7
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Strong free throw shooting
Full Team Profile