Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
Bracket
Picks
Futures
Results
My Record
💸 Refer
Bobby's Bets — NCAA Tournament Analytics
LearnRefer & EarnMy RecordDiscordTwitter

Bobby's Bets publishes sports statistics and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing here is a prediction of results or a recommendation to wager. Must be 21+ (18+ where permitted by law). Please play responsibly.

Problem gambling? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER — free, confidential, 24/7 — or visit ncpgambling.org.

Terms of Service·Disclaimer·Responsible Play

HubBracketPicksFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Knoxville
#14 seed

Knoxville

VS
Gonzaga
#3 seed

Gonzaga

Bobby's PickGonzaga
Confidence86%

Gonzaga should control this game. Their advantages in scoring advantage and three-point shooting make them the clear pick.

3-seeds dominate this matchup historically with only 15% upset rate.
Gonzaga has a commanding +85.1 scoring margin advantage.
Key statistical advantages in scoring advantage, three-point shooting.

AI Matchup Analysis

Bobby's PickGonzaga
Confidence86%
Key Rationale
3-seeds dominate this matchup historically with only 15% upset rate.
Gonzaga has a commanding +85.1 scoring margin advantage.
Key statistical advantages in scoring advantage, three-point shooting.

Knoxville (0.0 scoring margin) faces Gonzaga (+85.1 scoring margin) in a matchup that projects to around 43 total points. Gonzaga holds statistical advantages in 5 of 5 key categories.

•Gonzaga averages 85.1 more points per game, giving them a significant offensive advantage.
•Gonzaga's 34.0% three-point shooting could be the X-factor. Perimeter shooting often decides close tournament games.
•Gonzaga dominates the boards with 39.9 RPG. Second-chance points could swing this matchup.
Prediction

Gonzaga should control this game. Their advantages in scoring advantage and three-point shooting make them the clear pick.

F
Knoxville Grade
B
Gonzaga Grade
F
Knoxville Grade
0%
KnoxvilleFG%
vs
51%
GonzagaFG%
B
Gonzaga Grade

Tournament Context

West Region — 1st RoundModa Center
14Kennesaw St
vs
Gonzaga3
Historical upset rate (14-seeds vs 3-seeds)15.2%

3-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 15.2% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
KnoxvilleKnoxville
GonzagaGonzaga#15 Eff.
Adj. Offense119.5
Adj. Defense94.7

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace42.6Slow
Knoxville0.0Scoring Margin
Gonzaga+85.1Scoring Margin
Offense0.0 PPG
Offense85.1 PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

0.0%FG%51.0%
0.0%3P%34.0%
0.0%FT%69.9%
0.0RPG39.9
0.0APG18.3
0.0TOV9.7

Total Projection

Projected Total85.1
Knoxville: 0.0Gonzaga: 85.1
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Knoxville0 advantages
5 advantagesGonzaga
0.0 PPG
Scoring Advantage
85.1 PPG
0.0%
Three-Point Shooting
34.0%
0.0 RPG
Rebounding
39.9 RPG
0.0%
Free Throw Shooting
69.9%
0.0 APG
Ball Movement
18.3 APG

Statistical Comparison

KnoxvilleKnoxville
STAT
GonzagaGonzaga
0.0
PPG
85.1
0.0
Opp PPG
0.0
0.0
RPG
39.9
0.0
APG
18.3
0.0%
FG%
5100.4%
0.0%
3P%
3395.1%
0.0%
FT%
6989.2%
0.0
SPG
8.5
0.0
BPG
3.7
0.0
TOV
9.7
Knoxville

Knoxville

Weaknesses
Below-average scoring
Full Team Profile
Gonzaga

Gonzaga

Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Full Team Profile