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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Long Island
#16 seed

Long Island

24-11
Final
58-92
Arizona
#1 seed

Arizona

36-3

Post-Game Review

Long Island (+6.7 scoring margin) played Arizona (+15.9 scoring margin). The projected total was 149 points; the actual total was 150. Arizona held statistical advantages in 5 of 6 key categories.

•Arizona averaged 12.1 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•Long Island averaged 13.0 turnovers per game this season. Arizona's ability to force mistakes was a factor.
•Arizona dominated the boards with 42.5 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Arizona defeated Long Island 92-58 in a dominant performance.

B+
Long Island Grade
A
Arizona Grade
B+
Long Island Grade
48%
Long IslandFG%
vs
50%
ArizonaFG%
A
Arizona Grade
Long Island Scoring Trend
Arizona Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

West Region — 1st RoundViejas Arena
16Long Island
vs
Arizona1
Historical upset rate (16-seeds vs 1-seeds)1.2%

1-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 1.2% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
Long IslandLong Island
ArizonaArizona#2 Eff.
Adj. Offense127.4
Adj. Defense91.9

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace80.1Up-Tempo
Long Island+6.7Scoring Margin
Arizona+15.9Scoring Margin
Offense74.1 PPG
Offense86.1 PPG
Defense67.4 Opp PPG
Defense70.2 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

48.1%FG%50.2%
36.1%3P%36.0%
66.8%FT%73.4%
35.0RPG42.5
13.6APG16.9
13.0TOV10.8

Total Projection

Projected Total148.9
Long Island: 72.1Arizona: 76.8
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Long Island1 advantage
5 advantagesArizona
74.1 PPG
Scoring Advantage
86.1 PPG
67.4 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
70.2 Opp PPG
35.0 RPG
Rebounding
42.5 RPG
13.0 TOV/G
Ball Security
10.8 TOV/G
66.8%
Free Throw Shooting
73.4%
13.6 APG
Ball Movement
16.9 APG

Statistical Comparison

Long IslandLong Island
STAT
ArizonaArizona
74.1
PPG
86.1
67.4
Opp PPG
70.2
35.0
RPG
42.5
13.6
APG
16.9
48.1%
FG%
50.2%
36.1%
3P%
36.0%
66.8%
FT%
73.4%
7.8
SPG
7.8
5.4
BPG
4.2
13.0
TOV
10.8

Long IslandLong Island Recent Games

WvsMercyhurstMercyhurst
79-70
WvsWagnerWagner
64-56
WvsChicago StChicago St
79-75
WvsFDUFDU
74-60
WvsChicago StChicago St
73-56
L@MercyhurstMercyhurst
83-91
W@Saint FrancisSaint Francis
91-89
8-2 SU

ArizonaArizona Recent Games

WvsHoustonHouston
79-74
WvsIowa StateIowa State
82-80
WvsUCFUCF
81-59
W@ColoradoColorado
89-79
WvsIowa StateIowa State
73-57
WvsKansasKansas
84-61
W@BaylorBaylor
87-80
9-1 SU
Long Island

Long Island

24-11
Strengths
Efficient shooting
Strong shot-blocking presence
Weaknesses
Poor free throw shooting
Full Team Profile
Arizona

Arizona

36-3
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Full Team Profile