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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Louisville
#6 seed

Louisville

24-11
Final
69-77
Michigan St
#3 seed

Michigan St

27-8

Post-Game Review

Louisville (+9.1 scoring margin) played Michigan St (+1.7 scoring margin). The projected total was 158 points; the actual total was 146. Michigan St held statistical advantages in 1 of 1 key categories.

•Louisville averaged 5.8 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
Result

Michigan St defeated Louisville 77-69 in a closely contested game.

B+
Louisville Grade
B+
Michigan St Grade
B+
Louisville Grade
47%
LouisvilleFG%
vs
47%
Michigan StFG%
B+
Michigan St Grade
Louisville Scoring Trend
Michigan St Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

East Region — 2nd RoundKeyBank Center
6Louisville
vs
Michigan State3
Adjusted Efficiency
LouisvilleLouisville#19 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.6
Adj. Defense98.8
Michigan StMichigan St#11 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.2
Adj. Defense96.2

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace81.8Up-Tempo
Louisville+9.1Scoring Margin
Michigan St+1.7Scoring Margin
Offense84.8 PPG
Offense78.9 PPG
Defense75.7 Opp PPG
Defense77.2 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

47.0%FG%47.1%
35.7%3P%35.9%
76.9%FT%76.3%
38.5RPG39.8
17.1APG18.5
11.6TOV11.5

Total Projection

Projected Total158.3
Louisville: 81.0Michigan St: 77.3
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Louisville1 advantage
0 advantagesMichigan St
84.8 PPG
Scoring Advantage
78.9 PPG

Statistical Comparison

LouisvilleLouisville
STAT
Michigan StMichigan St
84.8
PPG
78.9
75.7
Opp PPG
77.2
38.5
RPG
39.8
17.1
APG
18.5
47.0%
FG%
47.1%
35.7%
3P%
35.9%
76.9%
FT%
76.3%
6.9
SPG
5.1
3.3
BPG
4.1
11.6
TOV
11.5

LouisvilleLouisville Recent Games

L@MiamiMiami
73-78
WvsSMUSMU
62-58
W@MiamiMiami
92-89
WvsSyracuseSyracuse
77-62
L@ClemsonClemson
75-80
L@North CarolinaNorth Carolina
74-77
WvsGeorgia TechGeorgia Tech
87-70
6-4 SU

Michigan StMichigan St Recent Games

LvsUCLAUCLA
84-88
L@MichiganMichigan
80-90
WvsRutgersRutgers
91-87
W@IndianaIndiana
77-64
W@PurduePurdue
76-74
WvsOhio StateOhio State
66-60
WvsUCLAUCLA
82-59
6-4 SU
Louisville

Louisville

24-11
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Michigan St

Michigan St

27-8
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile