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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
McNeese
#12 seed

McNeese

28-6
Final
68-78
Vanderbilt
#5 seed

Vanderbilt

27-9

Post-Game Review

McNeese (+2.0 scoring margin) played Vanderbilt (+15.4 scoring margin). The projected total was 158 points; the actual total was 146. Vanderbilt held statistical advantages in 4 of 4 key categories.

•Vanderbilt averaged 6.3 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•Vanderbilt held opponents to 71.0 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Vanderbilt's 35.5% three-point shooting was an X-factor in this matchup.
Result

Vanderbilt defeated McNeese 78-68 in a comfortable victory.

C+
McNeese Grade
B+
Vanderbilt Grade
C+
McNeese Grade
47%
McNeeseFG%
vs
48%
VanderbiltFG%
B+
Vanderbilt Grade

Tournament Context

South Region — 1st RoundPaycom Center
12McNeese
vs
Vanderbilt5
Historical upset rate (12-seeds vs 5-seeds)35.4%

12-seeds upset 5-seeds 35.4% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
McNeeseMcNeese
VanderbiltVanderbilt#14 Eff.
Adj. Offense127.9
Adj. Defense100.4

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace83.2Up-Tempo
McNeese+2.0Scoring Margin
Vanderbilt+15.4Scoring Margin
Offense80.0 PPG
Offense86.4 PPG
Defense78.0 Opp PPG
Defense71.0 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

46.8%FG%47.5%
31.9%3P%35.5%
74.7%FT%79.3%
35.2RPG35.3
14.2APG16.4
9.6TOV9.5

Total Projection

Projected Total157.7
McNeese: 75.5Vanderbilt: 82.2
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

McNeese0 advantages
4 advantagesVanderbilt
78.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
71.0 Opp PPG
80.0 PPG
Scoring Advantage
86.4 PPG
31.9%
Three-Point Shooting
35.5%
14.2 APG
Ball Movement
16.4 APG

Statistical Comparison

McNeeseMcNeese
STAT
VanderbiltVanderbilt
80.0
PPG
86.4
78.0
Opp PPG
71.0
35.2
RPG
35.3
14.2
APG
16.4
46.8%
FG%
47.5%
31.9%
3P%
35.5%
74.7%
FT%
79.3%
10.5
SPG
8.1
4.3
BPG
4.6
9.6
TOV
9.5

McNeeseMcNeese Recent Games

L@VanderbiltVanderbilt
68-78
0-1 SU

VanderbiltVanderbilt Recent Games

L@NebraskaNebraska
72-74
WvsMcNeeseMcNeese
78-68
1-1 SU
McNeese

McNeese

28-6
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt

27-9
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Strong free throw shooting
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Strong shot-blocking presence
Full Team Profile