Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
Bracket
Picks
Futures
Results
My Record
๐Ÿ’ธ Refer
Bobby's Bets โ€” NCAA Tournament Analytics
LearnRefer & EarnMy RecordDiscordTwitter

Bobby's Bets publishes sports statistics and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing here is a prediction of results or a recommendation to wager. Must be 21+ (18+ where permitted by law). Please play responsibly.

Problem gambling? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER โ€” free, confidential, 24/7 โ€” or visit ncpgambling.org.

Terms of ServiceยทDisclaimerยทResponsible Play

HubBracketPicksFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
N Dakota St
#14 seed

N Dakota St

VS
Michigan St
#3 seed

Michigan St

Bobby's PickMichigan St
Confidence62%

Michigan St has the edge based on the statistical profile, but this could be competitive. Look for their key advantages to be the difference.

3-seeds dominate this matchup historically with only 15% upset rate.

AI Matchup Analysis

Bobby's PickMichigan St
Confidence62%
Key Rationale
3-seeds dominate this matchup historically with only 15% upset rate.

N Dakota St (+80.7 scoring margin) faces Michigan St (+78.9 scoring margin) in a matchup that projects to around 80 total points. Michigan St holds statistical advantages in 2 of 2 key categories.

โ€ขMichigan St dominates the boards with 39.8 RPG. Second-chance points could swing this matchup.
Prediction

Michigan St has the edge based on the statistical profile, but this could be competitive. Look for their key advantages to be the difference.

C+
N Dakota St Grade
B
Michigan St Grade
C+
N Dakota St Grade
47%
N Dakota StFG%
vs
47%
Michigan StFG%
B
Michigan St Grade

Tournament Context

East Region โ€” 1st RoundKeyBank Center
14North Dakota State
vs
Michigan State3
Historical upset rate (14-seeds vs 3-seeds)15.2%

3-seeds are dominant in this matchup โ€” only 15.2% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
N Dakota StN Dakota St
Michigan StMichigan St#11 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.2
Adj. Defense96.2

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace79.8Up-Tempo
N Dakota St+80.7Scoring Margin
Michigan St+78.9Scoring Margin
Offense80.7 PPG
Offense78.9 PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

46.8%FG%47.1%
36.5%3P%35.9%
72.5%FT%76.3%
36.4RPG39.8
15.5APG18.5
10.8TOV11.5

Total Projection

Projected Total159.7
N Dakota St: 80.7Michigan St: 78.9
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

N Dakota St0 advantages
2 advantagesMichigan St
36.4 RPG
Rebounding
39.8 RPG
15.5 APG
Ball Movement
18.5 APG

Statistical Comparison

N Dakota StN Dakota St
STAT
Michigan StMichigan St
80.7
PPG
78.9
0.0
Opp PPG
0.0
36.4
RPG
39.8
15.5
APG
18.5
46.8%
FG%
47.1%
36.5%
3P%
35.9%
72.5%
FT%
76.3%
8.3
SPG
5.1
2.9
BPG
4.1
10.8
TOV
11.5
N Dakota St

N Dakota St

Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Disruptive with steals
Full Team Profile
Michigan St

Michigan St

Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Full Team Profile