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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
N Dakota St
#14 seed

N Dakota St

27-8
Final
67-92
Michigan St
#3 seed

Michigan St

27-8

Post-Game Review

N Dakota St (-11.3 scoring margin) played Michigan St (+11.3 scoring margin). The projected total was 160 points; the actual total was 159. Michigan St held statistical advantages in 3 of 3 key categories.

•Michigan St held opponents to 67.7 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Michigan St dominated the boards with 39.8 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Michigan St defeated N Dakota St 92-67 in a dominant performance.

B
N Dakota St Grade
A
Michigan St Grade
B
N Dakota St Grade
47%
N Dakota StFG%
vs
47%
Michigan StFG%
A
Michigan St Grade

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundKeyBank Center
14North Dakota State
vs
Michigan State3
Historical upset rate (14-seeds vs 3-seeds)15.2%

3-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 15.2% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
N Dakota StN Dakota St
Michigan StMichigan St#11 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.2
Adj. Defense96.1

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace79.8Up-Tempo
N Dakota St-11.3Scoring Margin
Michigan St+11.3Scoring Margin
Offense80.7 PPG
Offense78.9 PPG
Defense92.0 Opp PPG
Defense67.7 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

46.8%FG%47.1%
36.5%3P%35.9%
72.5%FT%76.3%
36.4RPG39.8
15.5APG18.5
10.8TOV11.5

Total Projection

Projected Total159.7
N Dakota St: 74.2Michigan St: 85.5
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

N Dakota St0 advantages
3 advantagesMichigan St
92.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
67.7 Opp PPG
36.4 RPG
Rebounding
39.8 RPG
15.5 APG
Ball Movement
18.5 APG

Statistical Comparison

N Dakota StN Dakota St
STAT
Michigan StMichigan St
80.7
PPG
78.9
92.0
Opp PPG
67.7
36.4
RPG
39.8
15.5
APG
18.5
46.8%
FG%
47.1%
36.5%
3P%
35.9%
72.5%
FT%
76.3%
8.3
SPG
5.1
2.9
BPG
4.1
10.8
TOV
11.5

N Dakota StN Dakota St Recent Games

L@Michigan StMichigan St
67-92
0-1 SU

Michigan StMichigan St Recent Games

L@UConnUConn
63-67
WvsLouisvilleLouisville
77-69
WvsN Dakota StN Dakota St
92-67
2-1 SU
N Dakota St

N Dakota St

27-8
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Michigan St

Michigan St

27-8
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Full Team Profile