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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Penn
#14 seed

Penn

18-12
Final
70-105
Illinois
#3 seed

Illinois

28-8

Post-Game Review

Penn (-28.9 scoring margin) played Illinois (+24.6 scoring margin). The projected total was 163 points; the actual total was 175. Illinois held statistical advantages in 5 of 6 key categories.

•Illinois averaged 8.3 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•Illinois held opponents to 59.8 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Penn's 38.6% three-point shooting was an X-factor in this matchup.
•Illinois dominated the boards with 40.7 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Illinois defeated Penn 105-70 in a dominant performance.

C+
Penn Grade
A+
Illinois Grade
C+
Penn Grade
44%
PennFG%
vs
46%
IllinoisFG%
A+
Illinois Grade

Tournament Context

South Region — 1st RoundBon Secours Wellness Arena
14Penn
vs
Illinois3
Historical upset rate (14-seeds vs 3-seeds)15.2%

3-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 15.2% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
PennPenn
IllinoisIllinois#6 Eff.
Adj. Offense132.5
Adj. Defense97.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace80.2Up-Tempo
Penn-28.9Scoring Margin
Illinois+24.6Scoring Margin
Offense76.1 PPG
Offense84.4 PPG
Defense105.0 Opp PPG
Defense59.8 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

44.0%FG%46.3%
38.6%3P%34.7%
69.3%FT%78.9%
36.4RPG40.7
14.0APG14.7
10.8TOV8.9

Total Projection

Projected Total162.6
Penn: 67.9Illinois: 94.7
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Penn1 advantage
5 advantagesIllinois
76.1 PPG
Scoring Advantage
84.4 PPG
105.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
59.8 Opp PPG
38.6%
Three-Point Shooting
34.7%
36.4 RPG
Rebounding
40.7 RPG
10.8 TOV/G
Ball Security
8.9 TOV/G
69.3%
Free Throw Shooting
78.9%

Statistical Comparison

PennPenn
STAT
IllinoisIllinois
76.1
PPG
84.4
105.0
Opp PPG
59.8
36.4
RPG
40.7
14.0
APG
14.7
44.0%
FG%
46.3%
38.6%
3P%
34.7%
69.3%
FT%
78.9%
6.8
SPG
3.8
3.1
BPG
4.6
10.8
TOV
8.9

PennPenn Recent Games

L@IllinoisIllinois
70-105
0-1 SU

IllinoisIllinois Recent Games

WvsIowaIowa
71-59
W@HoustonHouston
65-55
WvsVCUVCU
76-55
WvsPennPenn
105-70
4-0 SU
Penn

Penn

18-12
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Dangerous from three-point range
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Illinois

Illinois

28-8
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Elite defensive team
Strong free throw shooting
Dominant on the boards
Strong shot-blocking presence
Full Team Profile