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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Siena
#16 seed

Siena

23-12
Final
65-71
Duke
#1 seed

Duke

35-3

Post-Game Review

Siena (-0.5 scoring margin) played Duke (+14.5 scoring margin). The projected total was 146 points; the actual total was 136. Duke held statistical advantages in 5 of 5 key categories.

•Duke averaged 11.8 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•Duke held opponents to 67.8 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Duke's 35.1% three-point shooting was an X-factor in this matchup.
•Duke dominated the boards with 40.3 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Duke defeated Siena 71-65 in a closely contested game.

C
Siena Grade
A
Duke Grade
C
Siena Grade
46%
SienaFG%
vs
49%
DukeFG%
A
Duke Grade

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundBon Secours Wellness Arena
16Siena
vs
Duke1
Historical upset rate (16-seeds vs 1-seeds)1.2%

1-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 1.2% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
SienaSiena
DukeDuke#3 Eff.
Adj. Offense128.1
Adj. Defense92.6

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace76.4Average
Siena-0.5Scoring Margin
Duke+14.5Scoring Margin
Offense70.5 PPG
Offense82.3 PPG
Defense71.0 Opp PPG
Defense67.8 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

45.7%FG%49.0%
30.4%3P%35.1%
76.9%FT%72.4%
34.4RPG40.3
13.4APG16.9
10.3TOV10.5

Total Projection

Projected Total145.8
Siena: 69.1Duke: 76.6
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Siena0 advantages
5 advantagesDuke
70.5 PPG
Scoring Advantage
82.3 PPG
71.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
67.8 Opp PPG
30.4%
Three-Point Shooting
35.1%
34.4 RPG
Rebounding
40.3 RPG
13.4 APG
Ball Movement
16.9 APG

Statistical Comparison

SienaSiena
STAT
DukeDuke
70.5
PPG
82.3
71.0
Opp PPG
67.8
34.4
RPG
40.3
13.4
APG
16.9
45.7%
FG%
49.0%
30.4%
3P%
35.1%
76.9%
FT%
72.4%
5.8
SPG
7.8
3.1
BPG
3.3
10.3
TOV
10.5

SienaSiena Recent Games

L@DukeDuke
65-71
0-1 SU

DukeDuke Recent Games

LvsUConnUConn
72-73
WvsSt John'sSt John's
80-75
WvsTCUTCU
81-58
WvsSienaSiena
71-65
3-1 SU
Siena

Siena

23-12
Weaknesses
Struggles from three-point range
Full Team Profile
Duke

Duke

35-3
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Full Team Profile