NCAABBMatchup
#6 seed
Tennessee
VS
#2 seed
Iowa State
Bobby's PickIowa State
Confidence62%
This is a toss-up. Both teams have similar statistical profiles. Tournament experience and shot-making in crunch time will likely decide this one.
Modest efficiency advantage for Iowa State (#7 vs #12).
Iowa State's Q1 record (9-8) shows significantly more high-level wins than the opponent (6-4).
Iowa State holds a +2.3 scoring margin edge.
AI Matchup Analysis
Bobby's PickIowa State
Confidence62%
Key Rationale
Modest efficiency advantage for Iowa State (#7 vs #12).
Iowa State's Q1 record (9-8) shows significantly more high-level wins than the opponent (6-4).
Iowa State holds a +2.3 scoring margin edge.
Tennessee (+79.5 scoring margin) faces Iowa State (+81.8 scoring margin) in a matchup that projects to around 81 total points. Iowa State holds statistical advantages in 1 of 2 key categories.
•Iowa State's 38.7% three-point shooting could be the X-factor. Perimeter shooting often decides close tournament games.
•Tennessee dominates the boards with 42.6 RPG. Second-chance points could swing this matchup.
Prediction
This is a toss-up. Both teams have similar statistical profiles. Tournament experience and shot-making in crunch time will likely decide this one.
C+
Tennessee GradeB
Iowa State GradeC+
Tennessee Grade46%
vs
49%
B
Iowa State GradeTournament Context
Midwest Region — Sweet 16United Center
6Tennessee
vsIowa State2
Adjusted EfficiencyTennessee#12 Eff.Iowa State#7 Eff.
Tennessee#12 Eff.Adj. Offense121.7
Adj. Defense95.1
Iowa State#7 Eff.Adj. Offense123.7
Adj. Defense93.1
Pace & Efficiency
Expected Pace80.6Up-Tempo
Tennessee+79.5Scoring Margin
Iowa State+81.8Scoring Margin
Offense79.5 PPG
Offense81.8 PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
Shooting & Box Score
46.3%FG%49.0%
33.4%3P%38.7%
69.4%FT%67.2%
42.6RPG35.6
16.9APG17.2
11.7TOV10.3
Total Projection
Projected Total161.2
Tennessee: 79.5Iowa State: 81.8
No DK total line available
Key Matchup Factors
Tennessee1 advantage
1 advantageIowa State
33.4%
Three-Point Shooting
38.7%
42.6 RPG
Rebounding
35.6 RPG
Statistical Comparison
TennesseeIowa State
79.5
PPG81.8
0.0
Opp PPG0.0
42.6
RPG35.6
16.9
APG17.2
46.3%
FG%49.0%
33.4%
3P%38.7%
69.4%
FT%67.2%
7.5
SPG9.0
3.6
BPG2.7
11.7
TOV10.3
Tennessee
Strengths
Full Team Profile Strong scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Iowa State
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dangerous from three-point range
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Full Team Profile Poor free throw shooting