NCAABBMatchup
#6 seed
Tennessee
VS
#1 seed
Michigan
Bobby's PickMichigan
Confidence79%
Michigan has the edge based on the statistical profile, but this could be competitive. Look for their key advantages to be the difference.
Modest efficiency advantage for Michigan (#1 vs #12).
Michigan's defense (91.5 adj. D) is significantly tighter. Defense travels in March.
Michigan has substantially more offensive firepower (129.5 vs 121.7 adj. O).
AI Matchup Analysis
Bobby's PickMichigan
Confidence79%
Key Rationale
Modest efficiency advantage for Michigan (#1 vs #12).
Michigan's defense (91.5 adj. D) is significantly tighter. Defense travels in March.
Michigan has substantially more offensive firepower (129.5 vs 121.7 adj. O).
Michigan's Q1 record (22-3) shows significantly more high-level wins than the opponent (6-4).
Michigan has a commanding +7.4 scoring margin advantage.
Tennessee (+79.5 scoring margin) faces Michigan (+86.8 scoring margin) in a matchup that projects to around 83 total points. Michigan holds statistical advantages in 3 of 4 key categories.
•Michigan averages 7.4 more points per game, giving them a significant offensive advantage.
Prediction
Michigan has the edge based on the statistical profile, but this could be competitive. Look for their key advantages to be the difference.
C+
Tennessee GradeB+
Michigan GradeC+
Tennessee Grade46%
vs
51%
B+
Michigan GradeTournament Context
Midwest Region — Elite 8United Center
6Tennessee
vsMichigan1
Adjusted EfficiencyTennessee#12 Eff.Michigan#1 Eff.
Tennessee#12 Eff.Adj. Offense121.7
Adj. Defense95.1
Michigan#1 Eff.Adj. Offense129.5
Adj. Defense91.5
Pace & Efficiency
Expected Pace83.1Up-Tempo
Tennessee+79.5Scoring Margin
Michigan+86.8Scoring Margin
Offense79.5 PPG
Offense86.8 PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
Shooting & Box Score
46.3%FG%50.5%
33.4%3P%36.0%
69.4%FT%74.7%
42.6RPG40.0
16.9APG18.5
11.7TOV12.0
Total Projection
Projected Total166.3
Tennessee: 79.5Michigan: 86.8
No DK total line available
Key Matchup Factors
Tennessee1 advantage
3 advantagesMichigan
79.5 PPG
Scoring Advantage
86.8 PPG
33.4%
Three-Point Shooting
36.0%
42.6 RPG
Rebounding
40.0 RPG
69.4%
Free Throw Shooting
74.7%
Statistical Comparison
TennesseeMichigan
79.5
PPG86.8
0.0
Opp PPG0.0
42.6
RPG40.0
16.9
APG18.5
46.3%
FG%50.5%
33.4%
3P%36.0%
69.4%
FT%74.7%
7.5
SPG5.7
3.6
BPG5.9
11.7
TOV12.0
Tennessee
Strengths
Full Team Profile Strong scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Michigan
Strengths
Full Team Profile Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Strong shot-blocking presence