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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Texas
#11 seed

Texas

21-15
Final
68-66
NC State
#11 seed

NC State

20-14

Post-Game Review

Texas (+2.8 scoring margin) played NC State (-2.2 scoring margin). The projected total was 167 points; the actual total was 134. Texas held statistical advantages in 3 of 5 key categories.

•Texas held opponents to 81.0 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•NC State's 38.8% three-point shooting was an X-factor in this matchup.
•Texas dominated the boards with 37.7 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Texas defeated NC State 68-66 in a closely contested game.

B+
Texas Grade
B+
NC State Grade
B+
Texas Grade
49%
TexasFG%
vs
47%
NC StateFG%
B+
NC State Grade
Texas Scoring Trend
NC State Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

West Region — First FourUD Arena
11Texas
vs
NC State11

Same-seed matchup — no historical upset rate applies

Adjusted Efficiency
TexasTexas#38 Eff.
Adj. Offense124.2
Adj. Defense105.1
NC StateNC State#43 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.0
Adj. Defense104.7

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace83.7Up-Tempo
Texas+2.8Scoring Margin
NC State-2.2Scoring Margin
Offense83.8 PPG
Offense83.7 PPG
Defense81.0 Opp PPG
Defense85.9 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

48.6%FG%46.8%
35.3%3P%38.8%
75.2%FT%76.8%
37.7RPG34.5
12.3APG15.6
11.0TOV9.2

Total Projection

Projected Total167.2
Texas: 84.8NC State: 82.3
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Texas2 advantages
3 advantagesNC State
81.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
85.9 Opp PPG
35.3%
Three-Point Shooting
38.8%
37.7 RPG
Rebounding
34.5 RPG
11.0 TOV/G
Ball Security
9.2 TOV/G
12.3 APG
Ball Movement
15.6 APG

Statistical Comparison

TexasTexas
STAT
NC StateNC State
83.8
PPG
83.7
81.0
Opp PPG
85.9
37.7
RPG
34.5
12.3
APG
15.6
48.6%
FG%
46.8%
35.3%
3P%
38.8%
75.2%
FT%
76.8%
5.8
SPG
8.1
2.9
BPG
3.4
11.0
TOV
9.2

TexasTexas Recent Games

LvsOle MissOle Miss
66-76
LvsOklahomaOklahoma
85-88
L@ArkansasArkansas
85-105
W@Texas A&MTexas A&M
76-70
LvsFloridaFlorida
71-84
L@GeorgiaGeorgia
80-91
WvsLSULSU
88-85
5-5 SU

NC StateNC State Recent Games

L@VirginiaVirginia
74-81
WvsPittPitt
98-88
LvsStanfordStanford
84-85
LvsDukeDuke
64-93
L@Notre DameNotre Dame
90-96
L@VirginiaVirginia
61-90
WvsNorth CarolinaNorth Carolina
82-58
3-7 SU
Texas

Texas

21-15
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
NC State

NC State

20-14
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Dangerous from three-point range
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile