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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Tennessee St
#15 seed

Tennessee St

23-10
Final
74-108
Iowa State
#2 seed

Iowa State

29-8

Post-Game Review

Tennessee St (+14.8 scoring margin) played Iowa State (+16.0 scoring margin). The projected total was 147 points; the actual total was 182. Iowa State held statistical advantages in 3 of 5 key categories.

•Iowa State's 38.7% three-point shooting was an X-factor in this matchup.
•Tennessee St was 5-0 in their last 5 games heading into this matchup, carrying strong momentum.
Result

Iowa State defeated Tennessee St 108-74 in a dominant performance.

B+
Tennessee St Grade
A+
Iowa State Grade
B+
Tennessee St Grade
46%
Tennessee StFG%
vs
49%
Iowa StateFG%
A+
Iowa State Grade
Tennessee St Scoring Trend
Iowa State Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

Midwest Region — 1st RoundEnterprise Center
15Tennessee St
vs
Iowa State2
Historical upset rate (15-seeds vs 2-seeds)6.3%

2-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 6.3% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
Tennessee StTennessee St
Iowa StateIowa State#7 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.7
Adj. Defense93.1

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace81.2Up-Tempo
Tennessee St+14.8Scoring Margin
Iowa State+16.0Scoring Margin
Offense80.5 PPG
Offense81.8 PPG
Defense65.7 Opp PPG
Defense65.8 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

46.0%FG%49.0%
33.1%3P%38.7%
76.5%FT%67.2%
38.0RPG35.6
13.2APG17.2
12.2TOV10.3

Total Projection

Projected Total146.9
Tennessee St: 73.2Iowa State: 73.7
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Tennessee St2 advantages
3 advantagesIowa State
33.1%
Three-Point Shooting
38.7%
38.0 RPG
Rebounding
35.6 RPG
12.2 TOV/G
Ball Security
10.3 TOV/G
76.5%
Free Throw Shooting
67.2%
13.2 APG
Ball Movement
17.2 APG

Statistical Comparison

Tennessee StTennessee St
STAT
Iowa StateIowa State
80.5
PPG
81.8
65.7
Opp PPG
65.8
38.0
RPG
35.6
13.2
APG
17.2
46.0%
FG%
49.0%
33.1%
3P%
38.7%
76.5%
FT%
67.2%
9.4
SPG
9.0
3.6
BPG
2.7
12.2
TOV
10.3

Tennessee StTennessee St Recent Games

WvsMorehead StMorehead St
93-67
WvsUT MartinUT Martin
68-55
W@UT MartinUT Martin
67-42
W@SE MissouriSE Missouri
79-71
WvsSIUESIUE
80-53
WvsLindenwoodLindenwood
89-80
L@Morehead StMorehead St
86-94
9-1 SU

Iowa StateIowa State Recent Games

L@ArizonaArizona
80-82
W@Texas TechTexas Tech
75-53
WvsArizona StArizona St
91-42
WvsArizona StArizona St
86-65
L@ArizonaArizona
57-73
LvsTexas TechTexas Tech
73-82
W@UtahUtah
75-59
6-4 SU
Tennessee St

Tennessee St

23-10
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Dominant on the boards
Disruptive with steals
Full Team Profile
Iowa State

Iowa State

29-8
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Efficient shooting
Dangerous from three-point range
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Poor free throw shooting
Full Team Profile