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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Tennessee St
#15 seed

Tennessee St

23-10
Final
74-108
Iowa State
#2 seed

Iowa State

29-8

Post-Game Review

Tennessee St (-27.5 scoring margin) played Iowa State (+10.8 scoring margin). The projected total was 171 points; the actual total was 182. Iowa State held statistical advantages in 4 of 6 key categories.

•Iowa State held opponents to 71.0 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Iowa State's 38.7% three-point shooting was an X-factor in this matchup.
Result

Iowa State defeated Tennessee St 108-74 in a dominant performance.

C+
Tennessee St Grade
A
Iowa State Grade
C+
Tennessee St Grade
46%
Tennessee StFG%
vs
49%
Iowa StateFG%
A
Iowa State Grade

Tournament Context

Midwest Region — 1st RoundEnterprise Center
15Tennessee St
vs
Iowa State2
Historical upset rate (15-seeds vs 2-seeds)6.3%

2-seeds are dominant in this matchup — only 6.3% upset rate

Adjusted Efficiency
Tennessee StTennessee St
Iowa StateIowa State#7 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.6
Adj. Defense93.2

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace81.2Up-Tempo
Tennessee St-27.5Scoring Margin
Iowa State+10.8Scoring Margin
Offense80.5 PPG
Offense81.8 PPG
Defense108.0 Opp PPG
Defense71.0 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

46.0%FG%49.0%
33.1%3P%38.7%
76.5%FT%67.2%
38.0RPG35.6
13.2APG17.2
12.2TOV10.3

Total Projection

Projected Total170.7
Tennessee St: 75.8Iowa State: 94.9
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Tennessee St2 advantages
4 advantagesIowa State
108.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
71.0 Opp PPG
33.1%
Three-Point Shooting
38.7%
38.0 RPG
Rebounding
35.6 RPG
12.2 TOV/G
Ball Security
10.3 TOV/G
76.5%
Free Throw Shooting
67.2%
13.2 APG
Ball Movement
17.2 APG

Statistical Comparison

Tennessee StTennessee St
STAT
Iowa StateIowa State
80.5
PPG
81.8
108.0
Opp PPG
71.0
38.0
RPG
35.6
13.2
APG
17.2
46.0%
FG%
49.0%
33.1%
3P%
38.7%
76.5%
FT%
67.2%
9.4
SPG
9.0
3.6
BPG
2.7
12.2
TOV
10.3

Tennessee StTennessee St Recent Games

L@Iowa StateIowa State
74-108
0-1 SU

Iowa StateIowa State Recent Games

LvsTennesseeTennessee
62-76
WvsKentuckyKentucky
82-63
WvsTennessee StTennessee St
108-74
2-1 SU
Tennessee St

Tennessee St

23-10
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Iowa State

Iowa State

29-8
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dangerous from three-point range
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Poor free throw shooting
Full Team Profile