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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Troy
#13 seed

Troy

22-12
Final
47-76
Nebraska
#4 seed

Nebraska

28-7

Post-Game Review

Troy (+13.2 scoring margin) played Nebraska (+10.6 scoring margin). The projected total was 146 points; the actual total was 123. Nebraska held statistical advantages in 1 of 2 key categories.

•Troy averaged 11.9 turnovers per game this season. Nebraska's ability to force mistakes was a factor.
•Troy dominated the boards with 38.3 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Nebraska defeated Troy 76-47 in a dominant performance.

B+
Troy Grade
B+
Nebraska Grade
B+
Troy Grade
45%
TroyFG%
vs
46%
NebraskaFG%
B+
Nebraska Grade
Troy Scoring Trend
Nebraska Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

South Region — 1st RoundPaycom Center
13Troy
vs
Nebraska4
Historical upset rate (13-seeds vs 4-seeds)21.5%

13-seeds pull the upset 21.5% of the time historically

Adjusted Efficiency
TroyTroy
NebraskaNebraska#17 Eff.
Adj. Offense118.3
Adj. Defense94.0

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace78.8Up-Tempo
Troy+13.2Scoring Margin
Nebraska+10.6Scoring Margin
Offense80.3 PPG
Offense77.3 PPG
Defense67.1 Opp PPG
Defense66.7 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

44.9%FG%46.5%
33.5%3P%35.3%
73.8%FT%75.0%
38.3RPG34.9
16.0APG18.0
11.9TOV9.8

Total Projection

Projected Total145.7
Troy: 73.5Nebraska: 72.2
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Troy1 advantage
1 advantageNebraska
38.3 RPG
Rebounding
34.9 RPG
11.9 TOV/G
Ball Security
9.8 TOV/G

Statistical Comparison

TroyTroy
STAT
NebraskaNebraska
80.3
PPG
77.3
67.1
Opp PPG
66.7
38.3
RPG
34.9
16.0
APG
18.0
44.9%
FG%
46.5%
33.5%
3P%
35.3%
73.8%
FT%
75.0%
8.0
SPG
7.3
3.4
BPG
2.6
11.9
TOV
9.8

TroyTroy Recent Games

WvsGA SouthernGA Southern
77-61
WvsSouthern MissSouthern Miss
78-70
WvsUL MonroeUL Monroe
80-65
WvsLouisianaLouisiana
78-59
L@South AlabamaSouth Alabama
54-65
W@UL MonroeUL Monroe
77-76
L@Southern MissSouthern Miss
65-69
7-3 SU

NebraskaNebraska Recent Games

LvsPurduePurdue
58-74
WvsIowaIowa
84-75
L@UCLAUCLA
52-72
W@USCUSC
82-67
WvsMarylandMaryland
74-61
WvsPenn StatePenn State
87-64
L@IowaIowa
52-57
6-4 SU
Troy

Troy

22-12
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Full Team Profile
Nebraska

Nebraska

28-7
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Excellent ball movement
Full Team Profile