Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
Tournament HubBracketPicksFuturesEdge FinderAnalysisResultsHow It Works
Bobby's Bets

AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

NCAABB
Today's PicksEdge FinderFutures & OddsHow It Works
More
NBA DashboardMLBTwitter / X

Data provided for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly. Bobby's Bets is not a licensed sportsbook.

HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Troy
#13 seed

Troy

22-12
Final
47-76
Nebraska
#4 seed

Nebraska

28-7

Post-Game Review

Troy (+4.3 scoring margin) played Nebraska (+11.9 scoring margin). The projected total was 149 points; the actual total was 123. Nebraska held statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•Nebraska held opponents to 65.3 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Troy averaged 11.9 turnovers per game this season. Nebraska's ability to force mistakes was a factor.
•Troy dominated the boards with 38.3 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Nebraska defeated Troy 76-47 in a dominant performance.

C+
Troy Grade
B+
Nebraska Grade
C+
Troy Grade
45%
TroyFG%
vs
46%
NebraskaFG%
B+
Nebraska Grade

Tournament Context

South Region — 1st RoundPaycom Center
13Troy
vs
Nebraska4
Historical upset rate (13-seeds vs 4-seeds)21.5%

13-seeds pull the upset 21.5% of the time historically

Adjusted Efficiency
TroyTroy
NebraskaNebraska#16 Eff.
Adj. Offense118.3
Adj. Defense93.9

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace78.8Up-Tempo
Troy+4.3Scoring Margin
Nebraska+11.9Scoring Margin
Offense80.3 PPG
Offense77.3 PPG
Defense76.0 Opp PPG
Defense65.3 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

44.9%FG%46.5%
33.5%3P%35.3%
73.8%FT%75.0%
38.3RPG34.9
16.0APG18.0
11.9TOV9.8

Total Projection

Projected Total149.4
Troy: 72.8Nebraska: 76.6
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Troy1 advantage
2 advantagesNebraska
76.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
65.3 Opp PPG
38.3 RPG
Rebounding
34.9 RPG
11.9 TOV/G
Ball Security
9.8 TOV/G

Statistical Comparison

TroyTroy
STAT
NebraskaNebraska
80.3
PPG
77.3
76.0
Opp PPG
65.3
38.3
RPG
34.9
16.0
APG
18.0
44.9%
FG%
46.5%
33.5%
3P%
35.3%
73.8%
FT%
75.0%
8.0
SPG
7.3
3.4
BPG
2.6
11.9
TOV
9.8

TroyTroy Recent Games

L@NebraskaNebraska
47-76
0-1 SU

NebraskaNebraska Recent Games

LvsIowaIowa
71-77
WvsVanderbiltVanderbilt
74-72
WvsTroyTroy
76-47
2-1 SU
Troy

Troy

22-12
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Nebraska

Nebraska

28-7
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Excellent ball movement
Full Team Profile