umbc vs how | NCAABB Matchup Analysis

Bobby's BetsMarch Madness

NCAABBMatchup

#16 seed

UMBC

24-9

Final

83-86

#16 seed

Howard

24-11

Post-Game Review

UMBC (-9.8 scoring margin) played Howard (-14.5 scoring margin). The projected total was 166 points; the actual total was 169. Howard held statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•UMBC held opponents to 86.0 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.

•Howard averaged 13.5 turnovers per game this season. UMBC's ability to force mistakes was a factor.

Result

Howard defeated UMBC 86-83 in a closely contested game.

C+

UMBC Grade

Howard Grade

C+

UMBC Grade

47%

UMBCFG%

46%

HowardFG%

Howard Grade

Tournament Context

Midwest Region — First FourUD Arena

16UMBC

Howard16

Same-seed matchup — no historical upset rate applies

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace76.8Average

UMBC-9.8Scoring Margin

Howard-14.5Scoring Margin

Offense76.2 PPG

Offense77.5 PPG

Defense86.0 Opp PPG

Defense92.0 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

47.1%FG%45.9%

36.1%3P%34.5%

76.2%FT%73.1%

35.5RPG36.6

12.2APG16.2

9.6TOV13.5

Total Projection

Projected Total165.8

UMBC: 84.1Howard: 81.7

No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

UMBC2 advantages

1 advantageHoward

86.0 Opp PPG

Defensive Edge

92.0 Opp PPG

9.6 TOV/G

Ball Security

13.5 TOV/G

12.2 APG

Ball Movement

16.2 APG

Statistical Comparison

UMBC

STAT

Howard

76.2

PPG

77.5

86.0

Opp PPG

92.0

35.5

RPG

36.6

12.2

APG

16.2

47.1%

FG%

45.9%

36.1%

3P%

34.5%

76.2%

FT%

73.1%

5.0

SPG

8.7

2.6

BPG

3.7

9.6

TOV

13.5

UMBC Recent Games

Howard

83-86

0-1 SU

Howard Recent Games

Michigan

80-101

Wvs

UMBC

86-83

1-1 SU

UMBC

24-9

Strengths

Strong scoring offense

Efficient shooting

Weaknesses

Defensive concerns

Full Team Profile

Howard

24-11

Strengths

Strong scoring offense

Excellent ball movement

Disruptive with steals

Weaknesses

Defensive concerns

Full Team Profile