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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
UMBC
#16 seed

UMBC

24-9
Final
83-86
Howard
#16 seed

Howard

24-11

Post-Game Review

UMBC (+14.6 scoring margin) played Howard (+12.3 scoring margin). The projected total was 140 points; the actual total was 169. Howard held statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•UMBC held opponents to 61.6 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•Howard averaged 13.5 turnovers per game this season. UMBC's ability to force mistakes was a factor.
Result

Howard defeated UMBC 86-83 in a closely contested game.

A
UMBC Grade
B+
Howard Grade
A
UMBC Grade
47%
UMBCFG%
vs
46%
HowardFG%
B+
Howard Grade
UMBC Scoring Trend
Howard Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

Midwest Region — First FourUD Arena
16UMBC
vs
Howard16

Same-seed matchup — no historical upset rate applies

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace76.8Average
UMBC+14.6Scoring Margin
Howard+12.3Scoring Margin
Offense76.2 PPG
Offense77.5 PPG
Defense61.6 Opp PPG
Defense65.2 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

47.1%FG%45.9%
36.1%3P%34.5%
76.2%FT%73.1%
35.5RPG36.6
12.2APG16.2
9.6TOV13.5

Total Projection

Projected Total140.2
UMBC: 70.7Howard: 69.5
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

UMBC2 advantages
1 advantageHoward
61.6 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
65.2 Opp PPG
9.6 TOV/G
Ball Security
13.5 TOV/G
12.2 APG
Ball Movement
16.2 APG

Statistical Comparison

UMBCUMBC
STAT
HowardHoward
76.2
PPG
77.5
61.6
Opp PPG
65.2
35.5
RPG
36.6
12.2
APG
16.2
47.1%
FG%
45.9%
36.1%
3P%
34.5%
76.2%
FT%
73.1%
5.0
SPG
8.7
2.6
BPG
3.7
9.6
TOV
13.5

UMBCUMBC Recent Games

WvsVermontVermont
74-59
WvsUMass LowellUMass Lowell
91-69
WvsNew HampshireNew Hampshire
84-69
W@NJITNJIT
91-52
W@UMass LowellUMass Lowell
84-60
WvsBryantBryant
70-58
WvsUAlbanyUAlbany
66-62
10-0 SU

HowardHoward Recent Games

WvsNC CentralNC Central
70-63
WvsSC StateSC State
78-61
W@Norfolk StNorfolk St
84-76
WvsCoppin StCoppin St
90-70
W@Morgan StMorgan St
84-59
WvsNC CentralNC Central
100-67
W@Delaware StDelaware St
91-59
9-1 SU
UMBC

UMBC

24-9
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Elite defensive team
Efficient shooting
Full Team Profile
Howard

Howard

24-11
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Full Team Profile