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HubBracketPicksFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Northern Iowa
#12 seed

Northern Iowa

VS
St John's
#5 seed

St John's

Bobby's PickSt John's
Confidence66%

St John's should control this game. Their advantages in scoring advantage and rebounding make them the clear pick.

Historically, 12-seeds upset 5-seeds 35% of the time -- one of the most upset-prone matchups.
St John's has a commanding +11.6 scoring margin advantage.

AI Matchup Analysis

Bobby's PickSt John's
Confidence66%
Key Rationale
Historically, 12-seeds upset 5-seeds 35% of the time -- one of the most upset-prone matchups.
St John's has a commanding +11.6 scoring margin advantage.

Northern Iowa (+69.9 scoring margin) faces St John's (+81.6 scoring margin) in a matchup that projects to around 76 total points. St John's holds statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•St John's averages 11.6 more points per game, giving them a significant offensive advantage.
•St John's dominates the boards with 38.6 RPG. Second-chance points could swing this matchup.
Prediction

St John's should control this game. Their advantages in scoring advantage and rebounding make them the clear pick.

C
Northern Iowa Grade
C+
St John's Grade
C
Northern Iowa Grade
48%
Northern IowaFG%
vs
45%
St John'sFG%
C+
St John's Grade

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundViejas Arena
12Northern Iowa
vs
St. John's5
Historical upset rate (12-seeds vs 5-seeds)35.4%

12-seeds upset 5-seeds 35.4% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
St John'sSt John's#10 Eff.
Adj. Offense121.4
Adj. Defense93.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace75.7Average
Northern Iowa+69.9Scoring Margin
St John's+81.6Scoring Margin
Offense69.9 PPG
Offense81.6 PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

47.7%FG%45.4%
35.5%3P%33.2%
69.9%FT%72.7%
31.9RPG38.6
15.0APG16.3
9.3TOV10.5

Total Projection

Projected Total151.5
Northern Iowa: 69.9St John's: 81.6
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Northern Iowa1 advantage
2 advantagesSt John's
69.9 PPG
Scoring Advantage
81.6 PPG
35.5%
Three-Point Shooting
33.2%
31.9 RPG
Rebounding
38.6 RPG

Statistical Comparison

Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
STAT
St John'sSt John's
69.9
PPG
81.6
0.0
Opp PPG
0.0
31.9
RPG
38.6
15.0
APG
16.3
47.7%
FG%
45.4%
35.5%
3P%
33.2%
69.9%
FT%
72.7%
6.5
SPG
7.9
3.1
BPG
4.9
9.3
TOV
10.5
Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa

Strengths
Efficient shooting
Full Team Profile
St John's

St John's

Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Strong shot-blocking presence
Full Team Profile