Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
Tournament HubBracketPicksFuturesEdge FinderAnalysisResultsHow It Works
Bobby's Bets

AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

NCAABB
Today's PicksEdge FinderFutures & OddsHow It Works
More
NBA DashboardMLBTwitter / X

Data provided for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly. Bobby's Bets is not a licensed sportsbook.

HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Northern Iowa
#12 seed

Northern Iowa

23-13
Final
53-79
St John's
#5 seed

St John's

30-7

Post-Game Review

Northern Iowa (+5.4 scoring margin) played St John's (+17.0 scoring margin). The projected total was 140 points; the actual total was 132. St John's held statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•St John's averaged 11.6 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•St John's dominated the boards with 38.6 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

St John's defeated Northern Iowa 79-53 in a dominant performance.

B
Northern Iowa Grade
A
St John's Grade
B
Northern Iowa Grade
48%
Northern IowaFG%
vs
45%
St John'sFG%
A
St John's Grade
Northern Iowa Scoring Trend
St John's Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundViejas Arena
12Northern Iowa
vs
St. John's5
Historical upset rate (12-seeds vs 5-seeds)35.4%

12-seeds upset 5-seeds 35.4% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
St John'sSt John's#10 Eff.
Adj. Offense121.4
Adj. Defense93.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace75.7Average
Northern Iowa+5.4Scoring Margin
St John's+17.0Scoring Margin
Offense69.9 PPG
Offense81.6 PPG
Defense64.5 Opp PPG
Defense64.6 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

47.7%FG%45.4%
35.5%3P%33.2%
69.9%FT%72.7%
31.9RPG38.6
15.0APG16.3
9.3TOV10.5

Total Projection

Projected Total140.3
Northern Iowa: 67.3St John's: 73.0
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Northern Iowa1 advantage
2 advantagesSt John's
69.9 PPG
Scoring Advantage
81.6 PPG
35.5%
Three-Point Shooting
33.2%
31.9 RPG
Rebounding
38.6 RPG

Statistical Comparison

Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
STAT
St John'sSt John's
69.9
PPG
81.6
64.5
Opp PPG
64.6
31.9
RPG
38.6
15.0
APG
16.3
47.7%
FG%
45.4%
35.5%
3P%
33.2%
69.9%
FT%
72.7%
6.5
SPG
7.9
3.1
BPG
4.9
9.3
TOV
10.5

Northern IowaNorthern Iowa Recent Games

W@UICUIC
84-69
W@BradleyBradley
73-69
W@Illinois StIllinois St
74-52
WvsEvansvilleEvansville
68-59
W@DrakeDrake
75-53
LvsIllinois StIllinois St
69-71
LvsS IllinoisS Illinois
57-59
7-3 SU

St John'sSt John's Recent Games

WvsUConnUConn
72-52
WvsSeton HallSeton Hall
78-68
WvsProvidenceProvidence
85-72
W@Seton HallSeton Hall
72-65
WvsGeorgetownGeorgetown
72-69
WvsVillanovaVillanova
89-57
L@UConnUConn
40-72
9-1 SU
Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa

23-13
Strengths
Strong defensive team
Efficient shooting
Full Team Profile
St John's

St John's

30-7
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Strong shot-blocking presence
Full Team Profile