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HubBracketPicksFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Northern Iowa
#12 seed

Northern Iowa

Final
53-79
St John's
#5 seed

St John's

Post-Game Review

Northern Iowa (+69.9 scoring margin) played St John's (+81.6 scoring margin). The projected total was 76 points; the actual total was 132. St John's held statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•St John's averaged 11.6 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•St John's dominated the boards with 38.6 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

St John's defeated Northern Iowa 79-53 in a dominant performance.

C
Northern Iowa Grade
C+
St John's Grade
C
Northern Iowa Grade
48%
Northern IowaFG%
vs
45%
St John'sFG%
C+
St John's Grade

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundViejas Arena
12Northern Iowa
vs
St. John's5
Historical upset rate (12-seeds vs 5-seeds)35.4%

12-seeds upset 5-seeds 35.4% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
St John'sSt John's#10 Eff.
Adj. Offense121.4
Adj. Defense93.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace75.7Average
Northern Iowa+69.9Scoring Margin
St John's+81.6Scoring Margin
Offense69.9 PPG
Offense81.6 PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

47.7%FG%45.4%
35.5%3P%33.2%
69.9%FT%72.7%
31.9RPG38.6
15.0APG16.3
9.3TOV10.5

Total Projection

Projected Total151.5
Northern Iowa: 69.9St John's: 81.6
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Northern Iowa1 advantage
2 advantagesSt John's
69.9 PPG
Scoring Advantage
81.6 PPG
35.5%
Three-Point Shooting
33.2%
31.9 RPG
Rebounding
38.6 RPG

Statistical Comparison

Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
STAT
St John'sSt John's
69.9
PPG
81.6
0.0
Opp PPG
0.0
31.9
RPG
38.6
15.0
APG
16.3
47.7%
FG%
45.4%
35.5%
3P%
33.2%
69.9%
FT%
72.7%
6.5
SPG
7.9
3.1
BPG
4.9
9.3
TOV
10.5
Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa

Strengths
Efficient shooting
Full Team Profile
St John's

St John's

Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Strong shot-blocking presence
Full Team Profile