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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Northern Iowa
#12 seed

Northern Iowa

23-13
Final
53-79
St John's
#5 seed

St John's

30-7

Post-Game Review

Northern Iowa (-9.1 scoring margin) played St John's (+15.6 scoring margin). The projected total was 148 points; the actual total was 132. St John's held statistical advantages in 3 of 4 key categories.

•St John's averaged 11.6 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
•St John's held opponents to 66.0 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•St John's dominated the boards with 38.6 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

St John's defeated Northern Iowa 79-53 in a dominant performance.

C
Northern Iowa Grade
B+
St John's Grade
C
Northern Iowa Grade
48%
Northern IowaFG%
vs
45%
St John'sFG%
B+
St John's Grade

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundViejas Arena
12Northern Iowa
vs
St. John's5
Historical upset rate (12-seeds vs 5-seeds)35.4%

12-seeds upset 5-seeds 35.4% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
St John'sSt John's#10 Eff.
Adj. Offense121.3
Adj. Defense93.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace75.7Average
Northern Iowa-9.1Scoring Margin
St John's+15.6Scoring Margin
Offense69.9 PPG
Offense81.6 PPG
Defense79.0 Opp PPG
Defense66.0 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

47.7%FG%45.4%
35.5%3P%33.2%
69.9%FT%72.7%
31.9RPG38.6
15.0APG16.3
9.3TOV10.5

Total Projection

Projected Total148.2
Northern Iowa: 68.0St John's: 80.3
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Northern Iowa1 advantage
3 advantagesSt John's
69.9 PPG
Scoring Advantage
81.6 PPG
79.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
66.0 Opp PPG
35.5%
Three-Point Shooting
33.2%
31.9 RPG
Rebounding
38.6 RPG

Statistical Comparison

Northern IowaNorthern Iowa
STAT
St John'sSt John's
69.9
PPG
81.6
79.0
Opp PPG
66.0
31.9
RPG
38.6
15.0
APG
16.3
47.7%
FG%
45.4%
35.5%
3P%
33.2%
69.9%
FT%
72.7%
6.5
SPG
7.9
3.1
BPG
4.9
9.3
TOV
10.5

Northern IowaNorthern Iowa Recent Games

L@St John'sSt John's
53-79
0-1 SU

St John'sSt John's Recent Games

L@DukeDuke
75-80
W@KansasKansas
67-65
WvsNorthern IowaNorthern Iowa
79-53
2-1 SU
Northern Iowa

Northern Iowa

23-13
Strengths
Efficient shooting
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
St John's

St John's

30-7
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Strong shot-blocking presence
Full Team Profile