Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
Tournament HubBracketPicksFuturesEdge FinderAnalysisResultsHow It Works
Bobby's Bets

AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

NCAABB
Today's PicksEdge FinderFutures & OddsHow It Works
More
NBA DashboardMLBTwitter / X

Data provided for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly. Bobby's Bets is not a licensed sportsbook.

HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
South Florida
#11 seed

South Florida

25-9
Final
79-83
Louisville
#6 seed

Louisville

24-11

Post-Game Review

South Florida (+21.2 scoring margin) played Louisville (+9.1 scoring margin). The projected total was 157 points; the actual total was 162. Louisville held statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•South Florida held opponents to 66.5 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•South Florida dominated the boards with 42.7 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
•South Florida was 5-0 in their last 5 games heading into this matchup, carrying strong momentum.
Result

Louisville defeated South Florida 83-79 in a closely contested game.

A
South Florida Grade
B+
Louisville Grade
A
South Florida Grade
44%
South FloridaFG%
vs
47%
LouisvilleFG%
B+
Louisville Grade
South Florida Scoring Trend
Louisville Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundKeyBank Center
11South Florida
vs
Louisville6
Historical upset rate (11-seeds vs 6-seeds)37.3%

11-seeds upset 6-seeds 37.3% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
South FloridaSouth Florida#50 Eff.
Adj. Offense117.0
Adj. Defense101.4
LouisvilleLouisville#19 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.6
Adj. Defense98.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace86.2Up-Tempo
South Florida+21.2Scoring Margin
Louisville+9.1Scoring Margin
Offense87.7 PPG
Offense84.8 PPG
Defense66.5 Opp PPG
Defense75.7 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

43.9%FG%47.0%
33.2%3P%35.7%
74.4%FT%76.9%
42.7RPG38.5
17.2APG17.1
11.2TOV11.6

Total Projection

Projected Total157.3
South Florida: 81.7Louisville: 75.6
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

South Florida2 advantages
1 advantageLouisville
66.5 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
75.7 Opp PPG
33.2%
Three-Point Shooting
35.7%
42.7 RPG
Rebounding
38.5 RPG

Statistical Comparison

South FloridaSouth Florida
STAT
LouisvilleLouisville
87.7
PPG
84.8
66.5
Opp PPG
75.7
42.7
RPG
38.5
17.2
APG
17.1
43.9%
FG%
47.0%
33.2%
3P%
35.7%
74.4%
FT%
76.9%
9.2
SPG
6.9
4.1
BPG
3.3
11.2
TOV
11.6

South FloridaSouth Florida Recent Games

WvsWichita StWichita St
70-55
WvsCharlotteCharlotte
86-64
WvsCharlotteCharlotte
83-60
W@MemphisMemphis
96-89
WvsTulaneTulane
90-62
W@RiceRice
75-56
WvsMemphisMemphis
87-66
10-0 SU

LouisvilleLouisville Recent Games

L@MiamiMiami
73-78
WvsSMUSMU
62-58
W@MiamiMiami
92-89
WvsSyracuseSyracuse
77-62
L@ClemsonClemson
75-80
L@North CarolinaNorth Carolina
74-77
WvsGeorgia TechGeorgia Tech
87-70
6-4 SU
South Florida

South Florida

25-9
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Strong defensive team
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Full Team Profile
Louisville

Louisville

24-11
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile