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Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
South Florida
#11 seed

South Florida

25-9
Final
79-83
Louisville
#6 seed

Louisville

24-11

Post-Game Review

South Florida (+4.7 scoring margin) played Louisville (+6.8 scoring margin). The projected total was 167 points; the actual total was 162. Louisville held statistical advantages in 2 of 3 key categories.

•Louisville held opponents to 78.0 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•South Florida dominated the boards with 42.7 RPG this season. Second-chance points were a key storyline.
Result

Louisville defeated South Florida 83-79 in a closely contested game.

B
South Florida Grade
B+
Louisville Grade
B
South Florida Grade
44%
South FloridaFG%
vs
47%
LouisvilleFG%
B+
Louisville Grade

Tournament Context

East Region — 1st RoundKeyBank Center
11South Florida
vs
Louisville6
Historical upset rate (11-seeds vs 6-seeds)37.3%

11-seeds upset 6-seeds 37.3% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
South FloridaSouth Florida#50 Eff.
Adj. Offense117.0
Adj. Defense101.4
LouisvilleLouisville#19 Eff.
Adj. Offense123.6
Adj. Defense98.8

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace86.2Up-Tempo
South Florida+4.7Scoring Margin
Louisville+6.8Scoring Margin
Offense87.7 PPG
Offense84.8 PPG
Defense83.0 Opp PPG
Defense78.0 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

43.9%FG%47.0%
33.2%3P%35.7%
74.4%FT%76.9%
42.7RPG38.5
17.2APG17.1
11.2TOV11.6

Total Projection

Projected Total166.7
South Florida: 82.9Louisville: 83.9
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

South Florida1 advantage
2 advantagesLouisville
83.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
78.0 Opp PPG
33.2%
Three-Point Shooting
35.7%
42.7 RPG
Rebounding
38.5 RPG

Statistical Comparison

South FloridaSouth Florida
STAT
LouisvilleLouisville
87.7
PPG
84.8
83.0
Opp PPG
78.0
42.7
RPG
38.5
17.2
APG
17.1
43.9%
FG%
47.0%
33.2%
3P%
35.7%
74.4%
FT%
76.9%
9.2
SPG
6.9
4.1
BPG
3.3
11.2
TOV
11.6

South FloridaSouth Florida Recent Games

L@LouisvilleLouisville
79-83
0-1 SU

LouisvilleLouisville Recent Games

L@Michigan StMichigan St
69-77
WvsSouth FloridaSouth Florida
83-79
1-1 SU
South Florida

South Florida

25-9
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Louisville

Louisville

24-11
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Excellent ball movement
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile