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AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

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HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
Utah State
#9 seed

Utah State

29-7
Final
86-76
Villanova
#8 seed

Villanova

24-9

Post-Game Review

Utah State (+8.6 scoring margin) played Villanova (+1.9 scoring margin). The projected total was 154 points; the actual total was 162. Utah State held statistical advantages in 2 of 2 key categories.

•Utah State averaged 5.4 more points per game this season, holding a significant offensive advantage coming in.
Result

Utah State defeated Villanova 86-76 in a comfortable victory.

A
Utah State Grade
B
Villanova Grade
A
Utah State Grade
50%
Utah StateFG%
vs
46%
VillanovaFG%
B
Villanova Grade
Utah State Scoring Trend
Villanova Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

West Region — 1st RoundViejas Arena
9Utah State
vs
Villanova8
Historical upset rate (9-seeds vs 8-seeds)48.7%

9-seeds upset 8-seeds 48.7% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
Utah StateUtah State
VillanovaVillanova#34 Eff.
Adj. Offense120.0
Adj. Defense100.9

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace79.8Up-Tempo
Utah State+8.6Scoring Margin
Villanova+1.9Scoring Margin
Offense82.5 PPG
Offense77.2 PPG
Defense73.9 Opp PPG
Defense75.3 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

49.8%FG%45.7%
35.8%3P%35.3%
70.7%FT%69.4%
34.6RPG34.5
17.6APG15.5
10.6TOV10.1

Total Projection

Projected Total154.4
Utah State: 78.9Villanova: 75.5
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

Utah State2 advantages
0 advantagesVillanova
82.5 PPG
Scoring Advantage
77.2 PPG
17.6 APG
Ball Movement
15.5 APG

Statistical Comparison

Utah StateUtah State
STAT
VillanovaVillanova
82.5
PPG
77.2
73.9
Opp PPG
75.3
34.6
RPG
34.5
17.6
APG
15.5
49.8%
FG%
45.7%
35.8%
3P%
35.3%
70.7%
FT%
69.4%
8.8
SPG
7.4
2.9
BPG
2.2
10.6
TOV
10.1

Utah StateUtah State Recent Games

WvsSan Diego StSan Diego St
73-62
WvsNevadaNevada
79-66
WvsUNLVUNLV
80-60
WvsNew MexicoNew Mexico
94-90
L@UNLVUNLV
65-92
WvsGrand CanyonGrand Canyon
74-69
L@San Diego StSan Diego St
72-89
7-3 SU

VillanovaVillanova Recent Games

LvsGeorgetownGeorgetown
64-78
WvsXavierXavier
91-78
W@DePaulDePaul
76-57
L@St John'sSt John's
57-89
WvsButlerButler
82-73
LvsUConnUConn
63-73
W@XavierXavier
92-89
7-3 SU
Utah State

Utah State

29-7
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Excellent ball movement
Disruptive with steals
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile
Villanova

Villanova

24-9
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Weaknesses
Defensive concerns
Full Team Profile