Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
Bracket
Picks
Futures
Results
My Record
๐Ÿ’ธ Refer
Bobby's Bets โ€” NCAA Tournament Analytics
LearnRefer & EarnMy RecordDiscordTwitter

Bobby's Bets publishes sports statistics and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing here is a prediction of results or a recommendation to wager. Must be 21+ (18+ where permitted by law). Please play responsibly.

Problem gambling? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER โ€” free, confidential, 24/7 โ€” or visit ncpgambling.org.

Terms of ServiceยทDisclaimerยทResponsible Play

HubBracketPicksFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
VCU
#11 seed

VCU

VS
North Carolina
#6 seed

North Carolina

Bobby's PickVCU
Confidence56%

VCU has the edge based on the statistical profile, but this could be competitive. Look for their key advantages to be the difference.

Underdog is actually HIGHER-rated in efficiency (#27 vs #47) -- a potential mispriced seed.

AI Matchup Analysis

Bobby's PickVCU
Confidence56%
Key Rationale
Underdog is actually HIGHER-rated in efficiency (#27 vs #47) -- a potential mispriced seed.

VCU (+81.6 scoring margin) faces North Carolina (+79.8 scoring margin) in a matchup that projects to around 81 total points. VCU holds statistical advantages in 2 of 2 key categories.

Prediction

VCU has the edge based on the statistical profile, but this could be competitive. Look for their key advantages to be the difference.

C+
VCU Grade
B
North Carolina Grade
C+
VCU Grade
46%
VCUFG%
vs
47%
North CarolinaFG%
B
North Carolina Grade

Tournament Context

South Region โ€” 1st RoundBon Secours Wellness Arena
11VCU
vs
North Carolina6
Historical upset rate (11-seeds vs 6-seeds)37.3%

11-seeds upset 6-seeds 37.3% of the time โ€” one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
VCUVCU#47 Eff.
Adj. Offense118.5
Adj. Defense102.4
North CarolinaNorth Carolina#27 Eff.
Adj. Offense120.6
Adj. Defense100.1

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace80.7Up-Tempo
VCU+81.6Scoring Margin
North Carolina+79.8Scoring Margin
Offense81.6 PPG
Offense79.8 PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG
DefenseN/A Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

46.0%FG%47.3%
36.7%3P%34.5%
73.9%FT%68.4%
36.7RPG38.0
14.1APG16.0
10.5TOV9.7

Total Projection

Projected Total161.3
VCU: 81.6North Carolina: 79.8
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

VCU2 advantages
0 advantagesNorth Carolina
36.7%
Three-Point Shooting
34.5%
73.9%
Free Throw Shooting
68.4%

Statistical Comparison

VCUVCU
STAT
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
81.6
PPG
79.8
0.0
Opp PPG
0.0
36.7
RPG
38.0
14.1
APG
16.0
46.0%
FG%
47.3%
36.7%
3P%
34.5%
73.9%
FT%
68.4%
7.4
SPG
5.3
4.4
BPG
3.4
10.5
TOV
9.7
VCU

VCU

Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Full Team Profile
North Carolina

North Carolina

Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Full Team Profile