Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsMarch Madness
Tournament HubBracketPicksFuturesEdge FinderAnalysisResultsHow It Works
Bobby's Bets

AI-powered NCAA Tournament analytics. Data-driven picks, edge detection, and bracket analysis.

NCAABB
Today's PicksEdge FinderFutures & OddsHow It Works
More
NBA DashboardMLBTwitter / X

Data provided for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly. Bobby's Bets is not a licensed sportsbook.

HubPicksEdgesBracketFuturesResults
NCAABBMatchup
VCU
#11 seed

VCU

28-8
Final
82-78
North Carolina
#6 seed

North Carolina

24-9

Post-Game Review

VCU (+13.6 scoring margin) played North Carolina (+6.9 scoring margin). The projected total was 151 points; the actual total was 160. VCU held statistical advantages in 3 of 3 key categories.

•VCU held opponents to 68.0 PPG this season — their defensive scheme was a key factor.
•VCU was 5-0 in their last 5 games heading into this matchup, carrying strong momentum.
Result

VCU defeated North Carolina 82-78 in a closely contested game.

B+
VCU Grade
B+
North Carolina Grade
B+
VCU Grade
46%
VCUFG%
vs
47%
North CarolinaFG%
B+
North Carolina Grade
VCU Scoring Trend
North Carolina Scoring Trend

Tournament Context

South Region — 1st RoundBon Secours Wellness Arena
11VCU
vs
North Carolina6
Historical upset rate (11-seeds vs 6-seeds)37.3%

11-seeds upset 6-seeds 37.3% of the time — one of the most common upsets in March

Adjusted Efficiency
VCUVCU#47 Eff.
Adj. Offense118.5
Adj. Defense102.4
North CarolinaNorth Carolina#27 Eff.
Adj. Offense120.6
Adj. Defense100.1

Pace & Efficiency

Expected Pace80.7Up-Tempo
VCU+13.6Scoring Margin
North Carolina+6.9Scoring Margin
Offense81.6 PPG
Offense79.8 PPG
Defense68.0 Opp PPG
Defense72.9 Opp PPG

Shooting & Box Score

46.0%FG%47.3%
36.7%3P%34.5%
73.9%FT%68.4%
36.7RPG38.0
14.1APG16.0
10.5TOV9.7

Total Projection

Projected Total151.1
VCU: 77.2North Carolina: 73.9
No DK total line available

Key Matchup Factors

VCU3 advantages
0 advantagesNorth Carolina
68.0 Opp PPG
Defensive Edge
72.9 Opp PPG
36.7%
Three-Point Shooting
34.5%
73.9%
Free Throw Shooting
68.4%

Statistical Comparison

VCUVCU
STAT
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
81.6
PPG
79.8
68.0
Opp PPG
72.9
36.7
RPG
38.0
14.1
APG
16.0
46.0%
FG%
47.3%
36.7%
3P%
34.5%
73.9%
FT%
68.4%
7.4
SPG
5.3
4.4
BPG
3.4
10.5
TOV
9.7

VCUVCU Recent Games

WvsDaytonDayton
70-62
WvsSaint Joseph'sSaint Joseph's
77-64
WvsDuquesneDuquesne
71-66
W@DaytonDayton
68-62
WvsGeorge MasonGeorge Mason
70-65
WvsFordhamFordham
82-63
L@Saint LouisSaint Louis
75-88
9-1 SU

North CarolinaNorth Carolina Recent Games

LvsClemsonClemson
79-80
L@DukeDuke
61-76
WvsClemsonClemson
67-63
WvsVirginia TechVirginia Tech
89-82
WvsLouisvilleLouisville
77-74
W@SyracuseSyracuse
77-64
L@NC StateNC State
58-82
6-4 SU
VCU

VCU

28-8
Strengths
Elite scoring offense
Full Team Profile
North Carolina

North Carolina

24-9
Strengths
Strong scoring offense
Efficient shooting
Dominant on the boards
Full Team Profile