
Arkansas State
Red Wolves · Sun Belt · West
Efficiency & record
With the ball
Efficiency (PPA)0.05028
Success rate42.0%48
Explosiveness1.146
Points per trip3.3119
Without it
Efficiency allowed0.16024
Success allowed43.4%32
Havoc15.5%46
Stuff rate19.3%53
Last three seasons · 23 games
Overall ATS
13-10
Straight up
13-10
Over / under
10-13
Avg margin
-3.91
home 6-4away 5-6as favorite 3-5as underdog 10-5
A record, not a signal — we measured these splits at 50% ATS. Compare teams on the efficiency board.
Returning production · 2026
89th of 136 FBS teams by overall returning production
Overall
30.0%
Passing
7.2%
Rushing
-246.3%*
Receiving
54.2%
* Outside 0–100% on purpose. Production is PPA-weighted, so a departing player who cost his team yards pushes the returning share above 100, and a returning group whose combined contribution was negative shows below zero. The bar is clamped for layout; the number is not.
Futures
Sun Belt West Winner+475
National Championship+300000
To Make the Playoff+25000
Alternative Regular Season Wins Over 5.5-186
Alternative Regular Season Wins Under 5.5+144
Conference Win Totals Over 3.5+100
Conference Win Totals Under 3.5-130





