Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
โ† Draft Kit

AJ Dillon

RB ยท CAR ยท bye 5 ยท new team for 2026

The market drafts AJ Dillon at 15.02, but 2025 production ranks him RB56 โ€” about 10 spots of value.

15.02

2026 ADP

RB56

2025 production rank

1.5

2025 PPR/game

6

2025 games

2026 Outlook

4.2PPR/g3.8โ€“4.5 range

6 games in 2025 at 1.5 PPR/g, regressed 45% toward the RB average of 7.3; changed teams, so the range is widened rather than the estimate moved. This is last season's evidence weighted by sample size โ€” not a forecast.

Usage and schedule

  • 0.5 targets per game in 2025
  • 2.0 carries per game in 2025
  • 0% of his games cleared 20+ PPR; 100% landed under 8
  • Fantasy playoff matchups (weeks 15โ€“17): vs CIN, @PIT, vs SEA โ€” softness 50/100

ADP from real 12-team drafts (6,466 tracked), refreshed daily. Production from 2025 regular-season game logs.

Runs on the same data