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More →- -104
- +148
- +128
$10 wins $100.91
Model picks
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No games are listed today, with the next posted slate beginning Sunday, Nov 1.
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No NFL games are listed for Friday. The posted board resumes Sunday with BAL Ravens @ BUF Bills carrying a 54.5 total, while CLE Browns @ PIT Steelers is posted with PIT Steelers -3.5. Monday closes the listed schedule with CHI Bears @ SEA Seahawks at 8:20 PM ET.
On our NFL model board, A.J. Brown Receptions Over 4.5 is priced at +127, a 5.1% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price. Daniel Jones Passing TDs Under 0.5 is +178 with a 4.8% price edge, and Travis Kelce Receptions Over 4.5 is +110 with a 4.2% edge. Those are pricing comparisons, not recent-form signals.
Brown’s price edgeA.J. Brown Receptions Over 4.5 is +127, 5.1% above Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.
Jones under pricingDaniel Jones Passing TDs Under 0.5 is +178, carrying a 4.8% edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.
Bills-Ravens totalBAL Ravens @ BUF Bills is posted with a 54.5 total for Sun Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET.Number of the day5.1% — A.J. Brown’s model-board price edge versus Pinnacle’s no-vig fair price.
Sources: ESPN (scoreboard, injuries, news), DraftKings (posted lines), nflverse (production), our model picks. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.
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Written by AI from our data. Analysis, not a guarantee · 21+ · Problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER
Worth your attention
All games
ATL@
TB
-1.5 → -2.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 2.1% of games since 1999.
PHI@
WAS
-3.5 → -6 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 4.2% of games since 1999.
IND@
JAX
-7.5 → -10 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 3.1% of games since 1999.
JAX@
BAL
-4.5 → -3 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 2.3% of games since 1999.
LAC@
LA
-7.5 → -6.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 4.8% of games since 1999.
CLE@
PIT
-4.5 → -3.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 2.3% of games since 1999.
The biggest blowout of the season: CAR 34, ATL 3.
CAR beat ATL by 31 points in Week 2 — the widest margin of 2026 so far.
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