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LionsDET Lions@
BillsBUF Bills80%
hit rate L10
-108
DK- -108
- +115
$10 wins $31.41
Model picks
All 41 picks →Posted markets lead the quiet Tuesday
No games are listed today, but the upcoming board already offers a few clean points of focus.
Read the full briefing →Close briefing
There are no games listed for Tuesday, so the attention shifts to the posted board ahead. DET Lions @ BUF Bills carries the highest total on the schedule at 53.5, while MIA Dolphins @ SF 49ers has the largest home spread, with San Francisco at -13.5.
Our model likes Jahmyr Gibbs Rush Attempts Under 19.5 at -113, backed by an 80.0% last-10 hit rate. It also likes Tee Higgins Anytime TD at 165 with a 70.0% hit rate. For injury/news monitoring, Arizona lists Isaiah Adams, Dadrion Taylor-Demerson, and Garrett Williams as out; the Cardinals are next scheduled to face Seattle.
Gibbs workload numberOur model likes Gibbs Under 19.5 rush attempts at -113, with an 80.0% last-10 hit rate.
Arizona availability watchIsaiah Adams, Dadrion Taylor-Demerson, and Garrett Williams are listed out for Arizona.Number of the day53.5 — the highest posted total on the schedule, for Lions at Bills.
Sources: ESPN (scoreboard, injuries, news), DraftKings (posted lines), nflverse (production), our model picks. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.
💬 Discuss today's slate in DiscordFrom the playbookWhich Stats Stabilize First5 min
Worth your attention
All games
CAR@
ATL
-1.5 → 2.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 6.4% of games since 1999.
SEA@
ARI
10 → 3.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 13.5% of games since 1999.
PHI@
TEN
4.5 → 7 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 4.6% of games since 1999.
LV@
LAC
-8.5 → -6.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 7.0% of games since 1999.
NYG@
LA
-9.5 → -7 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 3.1% of games since 1999.
MIN@
CHI
-3.5 → -5.5 since we started tracking, which changes the result in 4.2% of games since 1999.
Devaughn Vele was added in 1,465,800 fantasy leagues in 24 hours.
Devaughn Vele (WR, NO) leads the 24-hour add count. But 8 of the 10 most-added players (80%) are not being drafted at all — that is waiver speculation rather than the draft market re-rating anyone. Most dropped: Kyler Murray (271,312), Jacksonville Jaguars (246,768), MarShawn Lloyd (183,204).
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