Anytime TD Board
Every anytime-touchdown price on the board, ranked by model edge — the gap between how often a player actually finds the end zone and what the odds imply. TD rates from the 2025 season (updates live once Week 1 kicks off).
| # | Player | Matchup | TD rate | Book | Edge | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Troy FranklinWR · DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 30% | 17% | +13% | +475 | |
| 2 |  RJ HarveyRB ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 50% | 31% | +19% | +220 | |
| 3 |  Courtland SuttonWR ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 40% | 34% | +6% | +195 | |
| 4 |  J.K. DobbinsRB ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 40% | 42% | -2% | +140 | |
| 5 |  Bo NixQB ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 20% | 22% | -2% | +350 | |
| 6 |  Jaylen WaddleWR ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 30% | 34% | -4% | +195 | |
| 7 |  Travis KelceTE · KC | vs Denver Broncos#9 vs TDs | TD 30% | 38% | -8% | +165 | |
| 8 |  Tyquan ThorntonWR ·KC | vs Denver Broncos#9 vs TDs | TD 20% | 29% | -9% | +240 | |
| 9 |  Marvin MimsWR ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 10% | 17% | -7% | +500 | |
| 10 |  Brashard SmithRB ·KC | vs Denver Broncos#9 vs TDs | TD 10% | 17% | -7% | +475 | |
| 11 |  Pat BryantWR ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 10% | 17% | -7% | +475 | |
| 12 |  Kenneth Walker IIIRB ·KC | vs Denver Broncos#9 vs TDs | TD 30% | 56% | -26% | -125 | |
| 13 |  Xavier WorthyWR ·KC | vs Denver Broncos#9 vs TDs | TD 0% | 42% | -42% | +140 | |
| 14 |  Evan EngramTE ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 0% | 20% | -20% | +390 | |
| 15 |  Noah GrayTE ·KC | vs Denver Broncos#9 vs TDs | TD 0% | 17% | -17% | +500 | |
| 16 |  Adam TrautmanTE ·DEN | vs Kansas City Chiefs#8 vs TDs | TD 0% | 17% | -17% | +500 |
TD rate = share of games with a rushing or receiving touchdown (last 10). Book % = the probability implied by the odds — value lives where the gap is big and the matchup is soft. Rookies without NFL games yet aren't rated. Please gamble responsibly.
Runs on the same data