⚾ Today's MLB Slate

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Wednesday, September 30 · 1:16 PM ET

4 games8 A-rated picks
Top Picks
Bobby's AI DeskWednesday, September 30Useful?

Wild Card teams chase series extensions

Four Wild Card matchups carry 1-0 series margins, highlighted by Sánchez-Mahle and Gray-Fried.

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Wild Card Day 2 is about extending series. Philadelphia trails Atlanta 1-0 at Truist Park, Houston trails the White Sox 1-0 at Daikin Park, Boston trails New York 1-0 at Yankee Stadium, and Chicago trails San Diego 1-0 at Petco Park. The trailing clubs need a win to extend their series.

The 8:00 PM ET Red Sox-Yankees game brings Sonny Gray (2.72 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) against Max Fried (2.80 ERA, 0.99 WHIP). Earlier, Cristopher Sánchez's 2.91 ERA and 231 strikeouts meet Tyler Mahle; Sean Burke (3.34 ERA) faces Hunter Brown (3.19 ERA). Kevin Gausman and Nick Pivetta close the day at 10:00 PM ET.

Boston's Roman Anthony is day-to-day after leaving Game 1 with a right hand injury. Houston is without Steven Okert on its wild-card roster. In player markets, our model likes Yordan Alvarez 1B Over 0.5 at 103, with an 80.0% hit rate over the last 10.

Number of the day231 — Cristopher Sánchez strikeouts across 207.0 innings.

Sources: MLB StatsAPI (schedule, probables, season lines), ESPN (injuries, news), our model picks & market data. Written only from these facts — nothing free-recalled.

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From the playbookPublic Money vs. Sharp Money5 min

Written by AI from our data. Analysis, not a guarantee · 21+ · Problem gambling? 1-800-GAMBLER

Where the Money's Moving

Full movement

Steam = money pushing the Over price shorter since open · drift = the market cooling. Tap a player for their movement details, the ⓘ for the 5-minute lesson.

Yordan Alvarez
Pick of the DayA+5:00 PM

Yordan Alvarez

Singles Over 0.5 vs White Sox

80%L10
+20.8%Model EV
+107
CHW@HOU
Game Pick of the Day

HOU -1.5

Run Line · CHW @ HOU · 5:00 PM

+14417% edge

Parlay of the Day

3 Legs

+436

$10 wins $53.62

1

Kevin Gausman

Strikeouts O4.5

100%-116
2

Tyler Mahle

Pitching Outs O14.5

100%-123
3

Hunter Brown

Pitching Outs O14.5

100%-170

100% Club

Perfect L5 hit rate

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Kevin Gausman

Kevin Gausman

Strikeouts O5.5

100%+192
Chase Meidroth

Chase Meidroth

Total Bases O1.5

100%+223
Austin Wells

Austin Wells

Walks O0.5

100%+219
Tyler Mahle

Tyler Mahle

Pitching Outs O14.5

100%-123
Sam Antonacci

Sam Antonacci

Singles O0.5

100%-126

Hot Streaks

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Did you know2026-09-30

Watch for a round number: Bryce Harper needs 1 more home runs to reach 30.

Bryce Harper (PHI) sits on 29 home runs with the season winding down. Also within three of a round number: Junior Caminero (99 RBI), David Hamilton (29 stolen bases).

More sports facts →
Kevin Gausman
Kevin GausmanA+
Strikeouts O4.5100%+86% model EV
-116DK
Tyler Mahle
Tyler MahleA+
Pitching Outs O14.5100%+81% model EV
-123DK
Kevin Gausman
Kevin GausmanA+
Strikeouts O5.583%+142% model EV
+192DK
Xander Bogaerts
Xander BogaertsA+
Runs O0.580%+110% model EV
+163DK
Hunter Brown
Hunter BrownA+
Pitching Outs O14.5100%+58% model EV
-170DK
Sonny Gray
Sonny GrayA+
Pitching Outs O14.5100%+55% model EV
-179DK
Munetaka Murakami
Munetaka MurakamiA+
RBIs O0.570%+109% model EV
+198DK
Chase Meidroth
Chase MeidrothA+
Runs O0.570%+102% model EV
+189DK
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