Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
โ† Draft Kit

Tua Tagovailoa

QB ยท Atlanta Falcons ยท bye 11 ยท new team for 2026

Tua Tagovailoa goes at 14.06 and produced 11.5 PPR points per game in 2025 โ€” the market has him priced about right.

14.06

2026 ADP

QB27

2025 production rank

11.5

2025 PPR/game

14

2025 games

2026 Outlook

12.2PPR/g4.6โ€“19.9 range

14 games in 2025 at 11.5 PPR/g, regressed 26% toward the QB average of 14.4; changed teams, so the range is widened rather than the estimate moved. This is last season's evidence weighted by sample size โ€” not a forecast.

Usage and schedule

  • 1.4 carries per game in 2025
  • 14% of his games cleared 20+ PPR; 36% landed under 8
  • Fantasy playoff matchups (weeks 15โ€“17): @WAS, vs TB, vs NO โ€” softness 62/100

Latest on Tua Tagovailoa

ADP from real 12-team drafts (8,234 tracked), refreshed daily. Production from 2025 regular-season game logs.

Runs on the same data