NFL
Closing Line Report
Every model pick, priced against DraftKings' last number before kickoff.
What this measures. The difference between the implied probability we posted a pick at and the implied probability of the final pre-kickoff price, on the same side of the same market. Positive means we got the better number. It is a measure of price, not of profit — beating the close by a point and still losing the bet are perfectly compatible.
The close here is DraftKings' own final quote, taken from our half-hourly snapshot of the board — not a multi-book consensus, because no multi-book feed carries NFL player props. It answers whether we beat the book you are actually pricing against.
Nothing to report until Week 1 finishes.
213 model picks are logged and waiting on a closing line. A pick can only be measured once its game has kicked off, and the season starts 9 September. This page fills itself — there is nothing to come back and switch on.
The MLB record is live now: see how that one reads.