Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics

NFL

Is that boost any good?

A profit boost is applied to a price that already carries the book's margin, so part of it is spent buying back the vig before any of it is edge. On a standard −110 prop that costs about 10% — a boost smaller than that leaves you behind the market's own fair number.

Best use of a 50% boost

How →

Zachariah Branch

Receptions Over 1.5

+179 → +269+25%DK

Cameron Ward

Passing TDs Under 0.5

+174 → +261+25%DK

J.J. McCarthy

Interceptions Under 0.5

+166 → +249+24%DK

Will Reichard

Field Goals Made Over 2.5

+158 → +237+23%DK

The short answer. It depends far more on the market than on the boost. An ordinary two-sided prop — receiving yards, receptions — needs roughly 9–19%, so any normal 25% or 50% token clears it comfortably.

Anytime touchdown is different. It needs 31% on average and up to 89%, because the touchdown field carries about 27% margin against roughly 5% on a standard prop. A 50% boost on an anytime scorer is often not enough — and that is the market books boost most.

Enter the boost you have been offered. Every prop below shows the boost it would need to reach fair value, measured by de-vigging the two prices DraftKings posts on it. How the fair price is derived →

Token offers today

A percentage token is almost all DraftKings and FanDuel ever hand out, and it is the case this page answers best — we already know what every prop on the board requires.

FanDuel

50% NBA ANY Wager Profit Boost

Clears 1,427 of 1,450 priced NFL props

DraftKings

30% WNBA Finals SGP Boost

Clears 1,288 of 1,450 priced NFL props

bet365

50% NBA SGP Profit Boost

Clears 1,427 of 1,450 priced NFL props

BetMGM

NBA Odds Boost Token

NBA

Caesars

Play Squad Builder & Win $50k in Bonus Bets

NFL

Boosts on offer right now

Fixed-odds boosts currently posted, ranked by how far each moves your break-even. That figure is arithmetic on the book's own two prices and assumes nothing: a +3pp shift means the bet needs to land three points less often than before to be worth the same. It is not a claim that the bet is good — for a three-leg parlay nobody can de-vig, only the price improved.

theScore

S. Curry & L. Doncic 8+ Pts Each in Q1

NBA · +220 → +300

+6.25pp
theScore

Giannis & La. Ball 25+ Pts Each

NBA · +275 → +375

+5.61pp
Caesars

CJ McCollum 20+ Pts & J. Johnson 10+ Reb

NBA · +225 → +275

+4.10pp
theScore

A. Reese 20+ Pts & 10+ Reb

WNBA · +375 → +475

+3.66pp
Caesars

C. Flagg & K. Durant 25+ Pts Each

NBA · +330 → +400

+3.26pp
bet365

OTT & BUF Both to Win

NHL · +187 → +214

+3.00pp
Caesars

B. Adebayo 20+ Pts & K. Thompson 3+ 3PM

NBA · +280 → +325

+2.79pp
bet365

10+ Reb Each for A. Davis, M. Diabate, R. Gobert, I. Zubic, Z. Edey, A. Sengun, D. Clingan & D. Sabonis

NBA · +4856 → +6639

+0.53pp
%

A 25% profit boost clears 1,175 of 1,450 priced props (81%). It is above the 10% a standard −110 prop costs.

Boost needed to reach fair value · lowest first

Marvin Harrison Jr.

Receptions Under 2.5 · vs NYG

-102-9.6%

Elic Ayomanor

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs CLE

-158-8.5%

Malachi Fields

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs HOU

+136-8.4%

Cooper Kupp

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs KC

+105-7.8%

Xavier Hutchinson

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs NYG

+172-7.6%

Darren Waller

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs TB

+146-7.3%

Elic Ayomanor

Receiving Yards Over 14.5 · vs CLE

+106-6.4%

Noah Gray

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs SEA

+147-6.4%

J.J. McCarthy

Completions Over 19.5 · vs HOU

+109-5.6%

Michael Wilson

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs DEN

+108-5.5%

Chuba Hubbard

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs TB

+116-5.4%

KC Concepcion

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs TEN

+106-4.9%

Devaughn Vele

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs PIT

+147-4.9%

Garrett Wilson

Receiving Yards Over 62.5 · vs MIA

-112-3.5%

Bo Nix

Completions Under 21.5 · vs ARI

-106-3.4%

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Receptions Under 7.5 · vs GB

-110-3.3%

Jahan Dotson

Receiving Yards Over 29.5 · vs SF

+103-2.9%

Jordan Love

Completions Over 23.5 · vs DET

+103-2.9%

Josh Jacobs

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs DET

-117-2.6%

Jacoby Brissett

Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs DEN

+143-2.2%

Evan Engram

Receptions Under 2.5 · vs ARI

-113-1.8%

Darnell Washington

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs NO

+101-1.8%

George Kittle

Receptions Under 5.5 · vs ATL

-114-1.8%

C.J. Stroud

Completions Under 21.5 · vs NYG

-104-1.7%

Jaylen Warren

Receiving Yards Under 25.5 · vs NO

-112-1.6%

Jordan Love

Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs DET

+152-1.0%

Carnell Tate

Receptions Under 4.5 · vs CLE

-115-0.9%

Ollie Gordon II

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs NYJ

-102-0.8%

Chris Godwin

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs CAR

+105-0.8%

Nico Collins

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs NYG

-129-0.8%

John Metchie III

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs TB

-122-0.6%

Kyren Williams

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs LV

+103-0.5%

Kyler Murray

Completions Under 20.5 · vs IND

-104-0.1%

Dohnte Meyers

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs BAL

-1260.1%

Elijah Higgins

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs DEN

-1030.5%

Josh Downs

Receptions Over 3.5 · vs MIN

-1450.6%

Matthew Stafford

Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs LV

+1260.7%

Dalton Schultz

Receiving Yards Under 31.5 · vs NYG

-1120.9%

Joe Burrow

Completions Over 25.5 · vs BAL

+1070.9%

Christian McCaffrey

Receptions Under 5.5 · vs ATL

-1280.9%

Sam Darnold

Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs KC

+1360.9%

Mike Gesicki

Receptions Under 2.5 · vs BAL

-1091.0%

Zachariah Branch

Receiving Yards Under 5.5 · vs SF

-1061.0%

Jake Ferguson

Receiving Yards Over 19.5 · vs PHI

+1031.1%

Bryce Young

Passing Yards Over 253.5 · vs TB

-1111.1%

Blake Corum

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs LV

-1631.2%

Isaiah Likely

Receptions Under 5.5 · vs HOU

-1181.4%

Jonathan Taylor

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs MIN

+1211.4%

Bucky Irving

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs CAR

-1581.4%

Kendrick Bourne

Receptions Over 3.5 · vs DEN

+1121.6%

Gunnar Helm

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs CLE

+1741.7%

Ashton Jeanty

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs LA

+1041.8%

RJ Harvey

Receptions Over 3.5 · vs ARI

-1101.9%

Devin Singletary

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs HOU

+1171.9%

Malik Willis

Completions Under 16.5 · vs NYJ

-1082.0%

Jahmyr Gibbs

Receptions Under 4.5 · vs GB

+1182.1%

Jerry Jeudy

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs TEN

+1392.6%

Jared Goff

Completions Over 25.5 · vs GB

-1012.7%

Dak Prescott

Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs PHI

+1172.7%

Noah Fant

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs PIT

-1152.8%

Drake London

Receptions Over 5.5 · vs SF

-1302.8%

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Receiving Yards Over 9.5 · vs HOU

-1033.0%

Deshaun Watson

Completions Over 18.5 · vs TEN

-1103.0%

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs HOU

-1183.4%

Chris Olave

Receptions Under 5.5 · vs PIT

+1123.6%

Tory Horton

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs KC

+1373.6%

C.J. Stroud

Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs NYG

-1653.7%

Jameson Williams

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs GB

+1143.8%

Jalen Coker

Receptions Over 5.5 · vs TB

+1023.8%

Tetairoa McMillan

Receptions Over 5.5 · vs TB

+1203.9%

Isaac TeSlaa

Receiving Yards Over 24.5 · vs GB

-1044.0%

Dallas Goedert

Receptions Under 4.5 · vs DAL

-1044.0%

Wan'Dale Robinson

Receptions Under 4.5 · vs CLE

-1464.4%

Brock Purdy

Completions Over 20.5 · vs ATL

-1024.5%

Harold Fannin Jr.

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs TEN

-1174.5%

Aaron Rodgers

Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs NO

-1174.5%

Javonte Williams

Rushing Yards Under 65.5 · vs PHI

-1144.7%

Rashid Shaheed

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs KC

+1124.8%

Tank Dell

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs NYG

+1764.9%

Ted Hurst

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs CAR

-1515.0%

Samaje Perine

Receiving Yards Under 7.5 · vs BAL

-1055.0%

Jake Ferguson

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs PHI

-1055.0%

Kyler Murray

Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs IND

+1275.1%

Malik Washington

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs NYJ

+1335.1%

Greg Dulcich

Receptions Under 2.5 · vs NYJ

-1475.1%

J.J. McCarthy

Rushing Yards Over 23.5 · vs HOU

-1155.3%

Jordan Addison

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs IND

-1385.4%

Deshaun Watson

Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs TEN

+1555.5%

CeeDee Lamb

Receptions Over 7.5 · vs PHI

+1165.5%

Tanner McKee

Completions Under 20.5 · vs DAL

-1235.7%

Foster Moreau

Receiving Yards Over 8.5 · vs NYG

-1066.0%

Brock Bowers

Receptions Under 6.5 · vs LA

-1396.2%

Jalen Brooks

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs DEN

-1216.3%

Tyler Allgeier

Rushing Yards Under 44.5 · vs DEN

-1146.4%

Dalton Schultz

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs NYG

-1246.5%

Tucker Kraft

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs DET

-1046.6%

Bucky Irving

Rushing Yards Under 65.5 · vs CAR

-1116.6%

Kenneth Walker III

Receptions Over 3.5 · vs SEA

+1276.6%

Jared Goff

Rushing Yards Under 0.5 · vs GB

-1056.7%

Foster Moreau

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs NYG

+1316.7%

Michael Penix Jr.

Passing Yards Over 227.5 · vs SF

-1136.8%

Chuba Hubbard

Receiving Yards Over 14.5 · vs TB

-1077.0%

Kyle Pitts Sr.

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs SF

-1297.3%

Malik Willis

Passing TDs Under 0.5 · vs NYJ

+1527.5%

Bo Nix

Rushing Yards Over 10.5 · vs ARI

-1077.9%

Michael Mayer

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs LA

+1028.0%

Ryan Flournoy

Receiving Yards Under 33.5 · vs PHI

-1088.0%

RJ Harvey

Receiving Yards Over 24.5 · vs ARI

-1088.0%

Patrick Mahomes

Rushing Yards Under 14.5 · vs SEA

-1088.0%

Jordan Love

Rushing Yards Under 7.5 · vs DET

-1088.0%

Deshaun Watson

Rushing Yards Under 29.5 · vs TEN

-1088.0%

Pat Freiermuth

Receptions Under 3.5 · vs NO

-1518.0%

J.K. Dobbins

Receptions Under 1.5 · vs ARI

-1748.1%

Jaylin Noel

Receptions Under 2.5 · vs NYG

-1308.2%

Kayshon Boutte

Receptions Over 1.5 · vs NYG

+1358.2%

DK Metcalf

Receptions Over 4.5 · vs NO

-1288.2%

Jalen Coker

Receiving Yards Over 66.5 · vs TB

-1108.2%

Tanner McKee

Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs DAL

+1478.3%

Javonte Williams

Receptions Over 2.5 · vs PHI

+1118.3%

Nick Muse

Anytime TD · vs SF

+50008.3%

Showing 120 of 400.

3,453 further props carry only one posted side and cannot be de-vigged, so they are not listed. Anytime touchdown is the biggest of them.

What this does not tell you

  • It is not a prediction. Clearing the threshold means the boosted price beats the market's own fair estimate. It does not mean the player will do the thing.
  • Anytime TD is de-vigged differently. It has no opposing price, so instead of pairing two sides we normalise the whole field: DraftKings prices every plausible scorer, and those prices are scaled so they sum to the number of scorers a game like this actually produces — measured at 4.07 on average across 1,845 games, rising about one per ten points of total. Rows using it are tagged TD field.
  • That method flatters longshots. Scaling the field proportionally is known to under-correct long prices, so for a +900 anytime scorer the figure shown is a floor — the true requirement is higher, not lower.
  • 3,453 props still have no fair price. The 2+ and 3+ touchdown ladders and anything else posted on one side only. Their fields sum to a different quantity that would need its own measurement, and guessing it would be worse than leaving them out.
  • One book. The fair price comes from DraftKings' own two sides, not a multi-book consensus. It measures the boost against that book's margin, not against the sharpest number in the market.