NFL
Is that boost any good?
A profit boost is applied to a price that already carries the book's margin, so part of it is spent buying back the vig before any of it is edge. On a standard −110 prop that costs about 10% — a boost smaller than that leaves you behind the market's own fair number.
The short answer. It depends far more on the market than on the boost. An ordinary two-sided prop — receiving yards, receptions — needs roughly 8–21%, so any normal 25% or 50% token clears it comfortably.
Anytime touchdown is different. It needs 34% on average and up to 84%, because the touchdown field carries about 27% margin against roughly 5% on a standard prop. A 50% boost on an anytime scorer is often not enough — and that is the market books boost most.
Enter the boost you have been offered. Every prop below shows the boost it would need to reach fair value, measured by de-vigging the two prices DraftKings posts on it. How the fair price is derived →
A 25% profit boost clears 1,280 of 1,584 priced props (81%). It is above the 10% a standard −110 prop costs.
Boost needed to reach fair value · lowest first
Tua Tagovailoa
Passing TDs Under 0.5 · vs PIT
Geno Smith
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs TEN
Jayden Daniels
Passing TDs Under 0.5 · vs PHI
Adam Trautman
Receptions Over 1.5 · vs KC
Derrick Henry
Receptions Over 1.5 · vs IND
Justin Herbert
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs ARI
Malik Willis
Passing TDs Under 0.5 · vs LV
Cameron Ward
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs NYJ
Aaron Rodgers
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs ATL
Joe Burrow
Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs TB
Kyle Juszczyk
Receptions Over 1.5 · vs LA
Justin Herbert
Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs ARI
Josh Allen
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs HOU
Jared Goff
Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs NO
Demarcus Robinson
Receptions Over 1.5 · vs LA
Xavier Legette
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs CHI
Deshaun Watson
Interceptions Under 0.5 · vs JAX
Eddy Pineiro
Extra Points Made Over 2.5 · vs LA
Jalen Nailor
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs MIA
Xavier Hutchinson
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs BUF
Rashod Bateman
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs IND
Javonte Williams
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs NYG
Rachaad White
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs PHI
Jacoby Brissett
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs LAC
Justice Hill
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs IND
Calvin Ridley
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs NYJ
Kirk Cousins
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs MIA
Bo Nix
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs KC
Bucky Irving
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs CIN
Matthew Stafford
Rushing Yards Over 0.5 · vs SF
Noah Gray
Receptions Over 1.5 · vs DEN
Michael Mayer
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs MIA
Darnell Washington
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs ATL
Demario Douglas
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs SEA
Jalen McMillan
Receptions Under 2.5 · vs CIN
Aaron Rodgers
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs ATL
Jerry Jeudy
Receptions Under 2.5 · vs JAX
Tucker Kraft
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs MIN
Jahan Dotson
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs PIT
James Cook
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs HOU
Deshaun Watson
Passing TDs Under 0.5 · vs JAX
Lamar Jackson
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs IND
A.J. Brown
Receptions Under 4.5 · vs SEA
Jauan Jennings
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs GB
Parker Washington
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs CLE
Drake Maye
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs SEA
Terry McLaurin
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs PHI
Christian Watson
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs MIN
Jaxson Dart
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs DAL
Brock Purdy
Interceptions Under 0.5 · vs LA
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs LAC
Kayshon Boutte
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs BUF
Mike Gesicki
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs TB
Travis Etienne Jr.
Receptions Over 3.5 · vs DET
Travis Kelce
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs DEN
Jason Myers
Extra Points Made Over 2.5 · vs NE
Jared Goff
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs NO
George Kittle
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs LA
Emeka Egbuka
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs CIN
Courtland Sutton
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs KC
Michael Pittman Jr.
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs ATL
Malik Nabers
Receptions Over 5.5 · vs DAL
Jason Myers
Field Goals Made Under 1.5 · vs NE
Joe Burrow
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs TB
A.J. Barner
Receptions Under 2.5 · vs NE
Omarion Hampton
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs ARI
Juwan Johnson
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs DET
Josh Downs
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs BAL
Tyler Shough
Rush Attempts Under 3.5 · vs DET
Tua Tagovailoa
Interceptions Under 0.5 · vs PIT
Deebo Samuel
Receptions Under 2.5 · vs LA
Bhayshul Tuten
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs CLE
Terrance Ferguson
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs SF
Jahmyr Gibbs
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs NO
Daniel Jones
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs BAL
Daniel Jones
Rush Attempts Under 2.5 · vs BAL
Tee Higgins
Receptions Under 4.5 · vs TB
George Pickens
Receptions Under 4.5 · vs NYG
Kyle Pitts Sr.
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs PIT
Tyler Shough
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs DET
Hunter Henry
Receptions Over 3.5 · vs SEA
Cade Otton
Receptions Over 3.5 · vs CIN
Colby Parkinson
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs SF
Charlie Kolar
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs ARI
Jalen Hurts
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs WAS
Justin Jefferson
Receptions Under 5.5 · vs GB
Brock Bowers
Receptions Under 5.5 · vs MIA
Caleb Williams
Rush Attempts Over 4.5 · vs CAR
Jalen Hurts
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs WAS
Kyren Williams
Receptions Under 1.5 · vs SF
Mason Taylor
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs TEN
Harold Fannin Jr.
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs JAX
Pat Bryant
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs KC
Kendrick Bourne
Receptions Over 2.5 · vs LAC
Kyler Murray
Rush Attempts Over 5.5 · vs GB
Sam LaPorta
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs NO
Kenneth Walker III
Receptions Under 2.5 · vs DEN
DeVonta Smith
Receptions Over 5.5 · vs WAS
De'Von Achane
Receptions Over 4.5 · vs LV
Caleb Williams
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs CAR
Bryce Young
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs CHI
Rashid Shaheed
Rushing Yards Over 2.5 · vs NE
Matthew Stafford
Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs SF
Justin Herbert
Rush Attempts Over 5.5 · vs ARI
Cooper Kupp
Receptions Under 2.5 · vs NE
Dalton Schultz
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs BUF
Khalil Shakir
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs HOU
Chris Godwin
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs CIN
Dak Prescott
Passing TDs Under 1.5 · vs NYG
Bo Nix
Rush Attempts Under 3.5 · vs KC
C.J. Stroud
Passing TDs Over 1.5 · vs BUF
Patrick Mahomes
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs DEN
Joe Burrow
Rushing Yards Under 6.5 · vs TB
David Montgomery
Receiving Yards Over 8.5 · vs BUF
Justice Hill
Rushing Yards Over 9.5 · vs IND
Jalen Coker
Receptions Under 3.5 · vs CHI
Tyler Warren
Receptions Under 4.5 · vs BAL
CeeDee Lamb
Receptions Over 6.5 · vs NYG
Jaxson Dart
Interceptions Over 0.5 · vs DAL
Malik Willis
Rush Attempts Over 7.5 · vs LV
Showing 120 of 400.
803 further props carry only one posted side and cannot be de-vigged, so they are not listed. Anytime touchdown is the biggest of them.
What this does not tell you
- It is not a prediction. Clearing the threshold means the boosted price beats the market's own fair estimate. It does not mean the player will do the thing.
- Anytime TD is de-vigged differently. It has no opposing price, so instead of pairing two sides we normalise the whole field: DraftKings prices every plausible scorer, and those prices are scaled so they sum to the number of scorers a game like this actually produces — measured at 4.07 on average across 1,845 games, rising about one per ten points of total. Rows using it are tagged TD field.
- That method flatters longshots. Scaling the field proportionally is known to under-correct long prices, so for a +900 anytime scorer the figure shown is a floor — the true requirement is higher, not lower.
- 803 props still have no fair price. The 2+ and 3+ touchdown ladders and anything else posted on one side only. Their fields sum to a different quantity that would need its own measurement, and guessing it would be worse than leaving them out.
- One book. The fair price comes from DraftKings' own two sides, not a multi-book consensus. It measures the boost against that book's margin, not against the sharpest number in the market.