

Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM EST
ARI
+7
+250
Total
54.5
DAL
-7
-310
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 7 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 7 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,282 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.3–50.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 54.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.5% of the time across 1,296 of them.
Last three seasons
ARI
20-21 ATS · 13-28 SU · 22-18 O/U
7-13 ATS home
DAL
17-23-1 ATS · 17-24 SU · 29-12 O/U
went over in 29 of 41
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Dallas Cowboys open a 7-point favorite over Arizona Cardinals — about 76% implied to win outright. The 54.5 total prices it near 31–24, one of the week's higher totals.
Arizona Cardinals went 3–14 in 2025 — #29 of 32 by point differential (-7.8/g), and were 2.4 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Dallas Cowboys went 7–9 in 2025 — #19 of 32 by point differential (-2.4/g).
Arizona Cardinals face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #3).
2025 team profiles
Arizona Cardinals
Dallas Cowboys
