Sunday, November 22 at 1:00 PM EST
ARI
+11.5
+440
Total
44.5
KC
-11.5
-600
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- Spread 11.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 671 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.1% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.4–51.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 44.5 — spread in the 10-14 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.2% of the time across 677 of them.
Last three seasons
ARI
18-17 ATS · 12-23 SU · 18-16 O/U
KC
15-23 ATS · 24-14 SU · 13-25 O/U
went under in 25 of 38
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Kansas City Chiefs open a 11.5-point favorite over Arizona Cardinals — about 86% implied to win outright. The 44.5 total prices it near 28–17.
Arizona Cardinals went 3–14 in 2025 — #29 of 32 by point differential (-7.8/g), and were 2.4 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Kansas City Chiefs went 6–11 in 2025 — #12 of 32 by point differential (+2.0/g), and were 3.5 wins unlucky versus their margin.
Arizona Cardinals face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #3).
2025 team profiles
Arizona Cardinals
Kansas City Chiefs