Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
ARI
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants
NYG

Sunday, October 4 at 1:00 PM EDT

ARI

+7

+260

Total

45.5

NYG

-7

-325

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadARI +7.0-110
SpreadNYG -7-110
TotalOver 45.5-110
TotalUnder 45.5-110
MoneylineARI to win+260
MoneylineNYG to win-325

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 7 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 7 — the 7-10 point band. In 1,270 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.4% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (45.6–51.1%) is taken into account.
  • Total 45.5 — spread in the 7-10 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 50.4% of the time across 1,281 of them.

Last three seasons

ARI

18-17 ATS · 12-23 SU · 18-16 O/U

NYG

15-20 ATS · 8-27 SU · 18-17 O/U

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

New York Giants open a 7-point favorite over Arizona Cardinals — about 76% implied to win outright. The 45.5 total prices it near 26–19.

Arizona Cardinals went 3–14 in 2025 — #29 of 32 by point differential (-7.8/g), and were 2.4 wins unlucky versus their margin.

New York Giants went 4–13 in 2025 — #22 of 32 by point differential (-3.4/g), and were 3.1 wins unlucky versus their margin.

Arizona Cardinals face one of the NFL's toughest 2026 schedules (strength of schedule #3).

2025 team profiles

Arizona Cardinals

2025 record3-14Point diff / game-7.8Pythag wins (rank)5.4 (#29)2026 SOS rank#3

New York Giants

2025 record4-13Point diff / game-3.4Pythag wins (rank)7.1 (#22)2026 SOS rank#17

Props on the board — ARI @ NYG