Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

How games at these numbers have gone

• The key number. 10.5 sits half a point past 10, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
• Spread 10.5 — the 10-14 point band. In 677 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
• Total 44.5 — spread in the 10-14 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.0% of the time across 683 of them.

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.