Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
ATL
Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers
GB

Thursday, September 24 at 8:15 PM EDT

ATL

+6.5

+250

Total

46.5

GB

-6.5

-310

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadATL +6.5-105
SpreadGB -6.5-115
TotalOver 46.5-110
TotalUnder 46.5-110
MoneylineATL to win+250
MoneylineGB to win-310

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 6.5 sits half a point short of 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
  • Spread 6.5 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 46.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

ATL

15-20 ATS · 16-19 SU · 15-20 O/U

GB

14-22-1 ATS · 20-17 SU · 19-17 O/U

14-22-1 against the spread

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Green Bay Packers open a 6.5-point favorite over Atlanta Falcons — about 76% implied to win outright. The 46.5 total prices it near 27–20.

Atlanta Falcons went 8–9 in 2025 — #21 of 32 by point differential (-2.8/g).

Green Bay Packers went 9–7 in 2025 — #14 of 32 by point differential (+1.8/g).

Atlanta Falcons drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #28).

2025 team profiles

Atlanta Falcons

2025 record8-9Point diff / game-2.8Pythag wins (rank)7.2 (#21)2026 SOS rank#28

Green Bay Packers

2025 record9-7Point diff / game+1.8Pythag wins (rank)9.3 (#14)2026 SOS rank#4

Props on the board — ATL @ GB