

Thursday, September 24 at 8:15 PM EDT
ATL
+6.5
+250
Total
46.5
GB
-6.5
-310
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 6.5 sits half a point short of 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
- Spread 6.5 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
- Total 46.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.
Last three seasons
ATL
15-20 ATS · 16-19 SU · 15-20 O/U
GB
14-22-1 ATS · 20-17 SU · 19-17 O/U
14-22-1 against the spread
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Green Bay Packers open a 6.5-point favorite over Atlanta Falcons — about 76% implied to win outright. The 46.5 total prices it near 27–20.
Atlanta Falcons went 8–9 in 2025 — #21 of 32 by point differential (-2.8/g).
Green Bay Packers went 9–7 in 2025 — #14 of 32 by point differential (+1.8/g).
Atlanta Falcons drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #28).
2025 team profiles
Atlanta Falcons
Green Bay Packers
