Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
BAL
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
BUF

Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM EST

BAL

+3

+142

Total

54.5

BUF

-3

-170

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadBAL +3.0-108
SpreadBUF -3-112
TotalOver 54.5-110
TotalUnder 54.5-110
MoneylineBAL to win+142
MoneylineBUF to win-170

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
  • Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,766 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.3–50.9%) is taken into account.
  • Total 54.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.

Last three seasons

BAL

20-22-1 ATS · 25-18 SU · 29-14 O/U

went over in 29 of 43

BUF

25-20 ATS · 33-12 SU · 28-16 O/U

went over in 28 of 44

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Buffalo Bills open a 3-point favorite over Baltimore Ravens — about 63% implied to win outright. The 54.5 total prices it near 29–26, one of the week's higher totals.

Baltimore Ravens went 8–9 in 2025 — #15 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g).

Buffalo Bills went 12–5 in 2025 — #6 of 32 by point differential (+6.8/g).

2025 team profiles

Baltimore Ravens

2025 record8-9Point diff / game+1.5Pythag wins (rank)9.1 (#15)2026 SOS rank#24

Buffalo Bills

2025 record12-5Point diff / game+6.8Pythag wins (rank)11.2 (#6)2026 SOS rank#8

Props on the board — BAL @ BUF