

Sunday, November 1 at 1:00 PM EST
BAL
+3
+142
Total
54.5
BUF
-3
-170
Bet it or track it
Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.
How games at these numbers have gone
- The key number. 3 is one of the numbers NFL games land on most often, so this line can push — and a half-point move off it changes far more games than a half-point anywhere else.
- Spread 3 — the 3-4 point band. In 1,766 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.6% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (46.3–50.9%) is taken into account.
- Total 54.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,599 of them.
Last three seasons
BAL
20-22-1 ATS · 25-18 SU · 29-14 O/U
went over in 29 of 43
BUF
25-20 ATS · 33-12 SU · 28-16 O/U
went over in 28 of 44
Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.
The Read
Buffalo Bills open a 3-point favorite over Baltimore Ravens — about 63% implied to win outright. The 54.5 total prices it near 29–26, one of the week's higher totals.
Baltimore Ravens went 8–9 in 2025 — #15 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g).
Buffalo Bills went 12–5 in 2025 — #6 of 32 by point differential (+6.8/g).
2025 team profiles
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
