Bobby's Bets
Bobby's BetsNFL Analytics
All matchups
BAL
Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
CLE

Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM EDT

BAL

-6.5

-250

Total

44.5

CLE

+6.5

+205

Bet it or track it

Tap a price to send it to your DraftKings betslip. Tail it and it grades into My Record once the game is final — pushes settle as pushes, which matters when 3 decides one NFL game in seven.

SpreadBAL -6.5-110
SpreadCLE +6.5-110
TotalOver 44.5-110
TotalUnder 44.5-110
MoneylineBAL to win-250
MoneylineCLE to win+205

How games at these numbers have gone

  • The key number. 6.5 sits half a point short of 7, one of the margins games actually land on. That hook is most of what you are paying for or getting here.
  • Spread 6.5 — the 6-7 point band. In 683 games since 1999 the favorite covered 48.0% of the time — a coin flip once the 95% range (44.3–51.8%) is taken into account.
  • Total 44.5 — spread in the 3-7 point band. Games with a spread this size went over 49.5% of the time across 3,551 of them.

Last three seasons

BAL

19-18 ATS · 22-15 SU · 26-11 O/U

went over in 26 of 37

CLE

12-23 ATS · 8-27 SU · 16-19 O/U

12-23 against the spread

Measured on 7,276 games with a closing line and a final score. Records cover three seasons and describe the team — they are not a signal, and every situational split we measured lands at a coin flip. Context, not a pick — see every band.

The Read

Baltimore Ravens open a 6.5-point favorite over Cleveland Browns — about 71% implied to win outright. The 44.5 total prices it near 26–19.

Baltimore Ravens went 8–9 in 2025 — #15 of 32 by point differential (+1.5/g).

Cleveland Browns went 5–12 in 2025 — #28 of 32 by point differential (-5.9/g).

Cleveland Browns drew one of the softest 2026 slates (strength of schedule #32).

2025 team profiles

Baltimore Ravens

2025 record8-9Point diff / game+1.5Pythag wins (rank)9.1 (#15)2026 SOS rank#24

Cleveland Browns

2025 record5-12Point diff / game-5.9Pythag wins (rank)5.5 (#28)2026 SOS rank#32

Props on the board — BAL @ CLE